TailMyPicks
Wallet0xc9a45097711d76c1a82b65273c28ec2801f63926Check another

Wallet 0xc9a4…3926

Rebuilt .

Summary

Where its weight is

Tennis

594 of its 690 qualified picks

50out of 100

Below the line at 0.00 per pick — 50 means no edge at all.

Its best Category

Fifa International

its best of 15 Categories scored

59out of 100

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

10 below 50 · 5 at or above · 15 Categories scored

Qualified picks
690
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 26, 2026, EDT59466.7%396 W · 198 L-1.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 594 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aziz Dougazbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Giustino (+1.5)backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tirante vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tausonbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Jannik Sinner Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jodar vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hagen: Henri Squire vs Alex Barrenabacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 594 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Aaron Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.6
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$34.8
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.99
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$13.15
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$17.23
Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri?backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33%+$9.91
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$10.5
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+32%+$32.04
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.5
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$9.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$19.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+40.2%+$5.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Copshop" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.