Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Dedura-Palomero (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fce6e57497e6fbca62c715c528f2893547306517db31a8a114a9390b722f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Tirante, Dedura-Palomero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tirante | 50c | 2,510$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.26 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 751.16$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 424.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Dedura-Palomero | 49c | 418.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Tirante | 49c | 200.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Tirante | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Tirante | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Tirante | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Tirante | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tirante | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Tirante | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Tirante | 50c | 44.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…0505backed Tirante | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…1463backed Tirante | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Dedura-Palomero (+1.5)this page
- Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Diego Dedura-PalomeroThiago Agustin Tirante won
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Dedura-PalomeroTirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.