TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,794 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b2c…6f48backed Under47c3,363$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over56c3,241$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b4…3b24backed Under47c2,995$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c19…7e5ebacked Over53c2,988$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e02…66a6backed Under47c2,970$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f72…3cb8backed Over53c2,850$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…5580backed Over53c2,825$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…e9fdbacked Under47c2,815$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde0…b9a2backed Over53c2,731$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddea…99cdbacked Over53c2,670$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561b…f333backed Under47c2,561$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f5…e0f9backed Under47c2,550$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d9…52e6backed Under47c2,541$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c2,462$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…37aabacked Under47c2,380$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb163…cb58backed Over53c2,368$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f7…8dd4backed Over53c2,355$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96e…5d93backed Over53c2,350$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb429…aec0backed Under47c2,300$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4e…e88abacked Over53c2,300$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb45…aca7backed Under47c2,218$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…a201backed Under47c2,216$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ad…d2f7backed Under47c2,208$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06cd…6af7backed Over53c2,202$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…2a39backed Under47c2,199$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5f…2b67backed Over53c2,160$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb95…838ebacked Under47c2,099$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5e…0f29backed Under47c2,055$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2b…24b9backed Over53c2,055$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c2,036$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5f…321fbacked Under47c2,023$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1e…1050backed Over53c2,012$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fd…3873backed Over53c2,001$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3afd…ff09backed Over53c2,001$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ac…ab52backed Under47c1,956$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd4…840bbacked Over53c1,924$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x506c…dc24backed Over53c1,902$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…8b84backed Under47c1,854$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bd…16b1backed Over53c1,823$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.799861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3604…602bbacked Over53c1,755$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,733$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ed…21dabacked Over53c1,701$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa976…35b8backed Under47c1,633$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6437…5d0abacked Under47c1,610$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10da…64cdbacked Under47c1,566$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4c34backed Under47c1,533$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x028e…8111backed Over53c1,523$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b21…d938backed Over53c1,455$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef02…a265backed Over53c1,422$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…9b28backed Over53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c1,009$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.964,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b0…1414backed Under47c952$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c920.59$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over57c520$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9116…a674backed Over70c322.77$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.83757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under30c274.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4420638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1938152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…5e77backed Under47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over57c141.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.861,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e6…7cefbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under46c92.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.415038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2923657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7519…c51fbacked Under47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0719849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c74.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.242,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over53c55.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c54.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under36c53.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…4a5cbacked Over53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c52.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c52.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4a…3421backed Over53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under47c50.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.746342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under33c49.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Under30c47.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3914947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over55c45.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.559552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over64c39.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1628536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…fe66backed Over56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec6…f396backed Over53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0937344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb678…5b46backed Over65c30.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.79757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.925138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over54c27.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8718459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ed…db3dbacked Under42c27.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.423158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Over54c25.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.876429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…fabfbacked Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7efe…edabbacked Under48c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.935343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over64c21.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8757250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5521259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.