NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a6a44b46ee2c8e5ef6f79deeb296e14682e176ad9ab54e53725f29a25d2a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,794 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b2c…6f48backed Under | 47c | 3,363$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 56c | 3,241$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.2 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…3b24backed Under | 47c | 2,995$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…7e5ebacked Over | 53c | 2,988$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…66a6backed Under | 47c | 2,970$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…3cb8backed Over | 53c | 2,850$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…5580backed Over | 53c | 2,825$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…e9fdbacked Under | 47c | 2,815$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde0…b9a2backed Over | 53c | 2,731$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddea…99cdbacked Over | 53c | 2,670$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…f333backed Under | 47c | 2,561$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f5…e0f9backed Under | 47c | 2,550$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…52e6backed Under | 47c | 2,541$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 2,462$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…37aabacked Under | 47c | 2,380$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…cb58backed Over | 53c | 2,368$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…8dd4backed Over | 53c | 2,355$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…5d93backed Over | 53c | 2,350$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…aec0backed Under | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e88abacked Over | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…aca7backed Under | 47c | 2,218$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…a201backed Under | 47c | 2,216$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 2,208$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…6af7backed Over | 53c | 2,202$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…2a39backed Under | 47c | 2,199$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…2b67backed Over | 53c | 2,160$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…838ebacked Under | 47c | 2,099$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5e…0f29backed Under | 47c | 2,055$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…24b9backed Over | 53c | 2,055$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 2,036$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5f…321fbacked Under | 47c | 2,023$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…1050backed Over | 53c | 2,012$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…3873backed Over | 53c | 2,001$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afd…ff09backed Over | 53c | 2,001$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…ab52backed Under | 47c | 1,956$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…840bbacked Over | 53c | 1,924$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…dc24backed Over | 53c | 1,902$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…8b84backed Under | 47c | 1,854$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bd…16b1backed Over | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.79 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…602bbacked Over | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,733$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…21dabacked Over | 53c | 1,701$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…35b8backed Under | 47c | 1,633$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…5d0abacked Under | 47c | 1,610$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…64cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4c34backed Under | 47c | 1,533$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028e…8111backed Over | 53c | 1,523$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…d938backed Over | 53c | 1,455$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…a265backed Over | 53c | 1,422$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…9b28backed Over | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,009$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…1414backed Under | 47c | 952$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 920.59$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…a674backed Over | 70c | 322.77$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 30c | 274.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…5e77backed Under | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 57c | 141.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 46c | 92.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…c51fbacked Under | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 74.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 53c | 55.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 54.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 53.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…4a5cbacked Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 52.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 52.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…3421backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 47c | 50.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 33c | 49.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Under | 30c | 47.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 64c | 39.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…fe66backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…f396backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5b46backed Over | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 54c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ed…db3dbacked Under | 42c | 27.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Over | 54c | 25.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…fabfbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…edabbacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 64c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.