NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fca45f5377221bdd71769ea08a54b467aa9ec9f917e3802e4deb21661b7b9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,808 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 314,588$164,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,843.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 244,066$117,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,151.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 110,392$53,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,399.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.89 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 13,566$6,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 13,047$6,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,132.23 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.97 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Under | 48c | 9,909$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 48c | 9,205$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.4 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 8,538$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.54 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Under | 48c | 8,383$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 7,894$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.12 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 4,654$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.01 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…547ebacked Over | 49c | 4,614$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…258dbacked Under | 52c | 4,419$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…190fbacked Under | 51c | 4,234$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…1055backed Under | 52c | 4,155$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 52c | 3,991$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.73 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 3,769$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…59a6backed Under | 51c | 3,507$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…76e4backed Under | 52c | 3,505$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 3,300$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 3,169$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.23 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…cf0ebacked Over | 49c | 3,127$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…fef1backed Under | 52c | 2,877$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,817$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 2,623$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.8 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…4069backed Over | 49c | 2,590$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…da96backed Over | 48c | 2,456$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…1420backed Over | 49c | 2,435$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…ece6backed Under | 52c | 2,430$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…8f42backed Under | 52c | 2,407$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…4b4abacked Over | 48c | 2,338$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 2,335$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.35 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…2212backed Over | 48c | 2,323$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…dc1fbacked Under | 51c | 2,302$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d46…941dbacked Over | 49c | 2,282$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…344cbacked Over | 48c | 2,244$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ec…a34cbacked Under | 52c | 2,239$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e36…0f8dbacked Over | 48c | 2,235$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…94eebacked Over | 48c | 2,164$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 52c | 2,157$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.8 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…a752backed Over | 49c | 2,148$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…6ae8backed Over | 49c | 2,129$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…0cf7backed Under | 52c | 2,081$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…6622backed Over | 48c | 2,058$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…f77dbacked Over | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…728abacked Under | 51c | 1,901$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…b583backed Under | 51c | 1,885$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…01eebacked Over | 48c | 1,866$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…b25abacked Over | 48c | 1,852$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…bd03backed Over | 49c | 1,824$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…ee4abacked Under | 51c | 1,822$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 52c | 1,769$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.23 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…8669backed Under | 52c | 1,767$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…53eebacked Under | 51c | 1,766$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…2002backed Over | 48c | 1,728$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 51c | 1,726$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.26 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…f834backed Under | 51c | 1,725$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…38b6backed Over | 48c | 1,717$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…7a86backed Over | 48c | 1,713$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…7f49backed Under | 52c | 1,710$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0fa6backed Over | 49c | 1,682$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572a…d807backed Under | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…6a46backed Under | 51c | 1,656$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…ef12backed Under | 51c | 1,650$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…a398backed Under | 51c | 1,601$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.24 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…b410backed Over | 49c | 1,562$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…6b65backed Over | 48c | 1,457$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…5382backed Over | 48c | 1,439$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 51c | 1,431$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.18 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…12d1backed Under | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…2648backed Over | 49c | 1,399$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 1,395$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.52 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,077$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…7735backed Under | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…afe5backed Under | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 933.36$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 872.82$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.02 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 797.42$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 782.03$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.55 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 765$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…805fbacked Over | 49c | 756$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…cafcbacked Under | 51c | 652$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 53c | 597.85$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 562.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.19 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…b78ebacked Over | 49c | 558$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 554.66$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…2b06backed Under | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.