NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef0b5f971d27cbc672c4d1dd62beed1330f6efceb6cb584ab8d0e516b507669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,231,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,231,166 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 47c | 561,295$263,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,273.97 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Knicks | 53c | 439,255$232,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,842.35 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Knicks | 53c | 387,205$205,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,460.21 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 48c | 200,000$95,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,995.93 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Wizards | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,500 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Knicks | 51c | 118,214$60,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,944.38 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Knicks | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,399.96 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 50c | 38,870$19,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,276.23 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Wizards | 49c | 29,363$14,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,387.85 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 47c | 24,125$11,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,338.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks | 52c | 19,000$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 47c | 18,036$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.88 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 52c | 14,842$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 51c | 12,251$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,297.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 51c | 9,856$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks | 52c | 5,886$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.11 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 50c | 5,845$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Knicks | 53c | 5,333$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.19 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Wizards | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Wizards | 49c | 2,645$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Knicks | 47c | 2,599$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.9 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Wizards | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards | 34c | 1,280$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.85 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Wizards | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wizards | 52c | 1,176$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.74 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…eb61backed Wizards | 48c | 1,154$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,145$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 52c | 1,134$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Wizards | 50c | 1,127$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.74 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Wizards | 54c | 1,108$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wizards | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Wizards | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Wizards | 48c | 917.68$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.49 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 47c | 899.94$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Knicks | 49c | 847$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.97 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks | 53c | 812.93$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wizards | 48c | 699.9$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.95 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 42c | 694.23$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Knicks | 53c | 681$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.77 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Knicks | 51c | 603.81$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Wizards | 51c | 572$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks | 51c | 569.73$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 50c | 563.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Wizards | 48c | 555.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Knicks | 53c | 537.27$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 46c | 533.67$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wizards | 47c | 531.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Wizards | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks | 52c | 432.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Knicks | 64c | 415.15$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 42c | 409.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Knicks | 49c | 404.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Wizards | 30c | 399.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Knicks | 50c | 381.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Knicks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Wizards | 49c | 343.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Wizards | 47c | 336.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 48c | 320.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Knicks | 52c | 317$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Knicks | 53c | 309$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Knicks | 50c | 302.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Knicks | 53c | 298$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Knicks | 50c | 277.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 48c | 265.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wizards | 40c | 242.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Knicks | 58c | 231.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Knicks | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Wizards | 53c | 229.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Knicks | 55c | 225.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 52c | 221.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Wizards | 52c | 214.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 47c | 212.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Knicks | 48c | 200.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Knicks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Wizards | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…9eb4backed Wizards | 51c | 195.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Knicks | 52c | 192.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Knicks | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Knicks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards | 47c | 159.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 50c | 156.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…f94abacked Knicks | 57c | 155.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Wizards | 48c | 152.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Knicks | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Knicks | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Knicks | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Knicks | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1defbacked Knicks | 50c | 142.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.