NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6e6e3a9d221223bb8373b6eb55628328482ce22b4439ee74b72c3ee1e4874a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,572 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 242,927$133,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,356.2 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 111,193$50,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,037.07 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Over | 51c | 84,332$43,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,322.68 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 45c | 73,471$33,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,061.79 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Under | 49c | 64,800$31,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,752 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 59,744$26,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,958.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 36,422$18,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,460.34 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…a4d2backed Under | 49c | 20,298$9,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,946.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…2c7cbacked Under | 49c | 18,235$8,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,935.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…c834backed Under | 48c | 14,117$6,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,776 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 52c | 13,999$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…60c6backed Over | 51c | 10,709$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…354fbacked Under | 48c | 9,388$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…b4cebacked Over | 51c | 8,699$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…8c94backed Over | 51c | 8,685$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf88…ee73backed Under | 49c | 8,657$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…ffb1backed Under | 49c | 8,504$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…7072backed Under | 49c | 8,503$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…91a2backed Over | 51c | 7,724$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…2be4backed Over | 51c | 7,666$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 7,338$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…d713backed Under | 48c | 7,058$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,860$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.01 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 6,755$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…1057backed Over | 51c | 5,810$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 5,099$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.51 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…2adcbacked Over | 51c | 4,865$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…e0dfbacked Under | 49c | 4,854$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Under | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…1282backed Under | 49c | 4,778$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…ccd1backed Over | 51c | 4,762$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…5bdbbacked Over | 51c | 4,745$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…0090backed Under | 49c | 4,735$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…98c1backed Over | 51c | 4,730$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…2ab8backed Over | 51c | 4,711$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…2292backed Under | 49c | 4,702$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…b5abbacked Over | 51c | 4,689$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb8…12f7backed Under | 49c | 4,655$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9181…bfb2backed Under | 49c | 4,638$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…a91cbacked Under | 49c | 4,609$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…1853backed Under | 49c | 4,601$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…d230backed Under | 49c | 4,585$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…3becbacked Over | 51c | 4,565$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…e081backed Over | 51c | 4,515$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…60f2backed Under | 49c | 4,505$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…1340backed Under | 49c | 4,469$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…5d1bbacked Over | 51c | 4,467$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…9322backed Over | 51c | 4,465$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…428cbacked Over | 51c | 4,445$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…6507backed Over | 51c | 4,445$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…cc27backed Under | 49c | 4,432$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b8bdbacked Under | 49c | 4,427$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049c…f034backed Under | 49c | 4,421$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…3df7backed Over | 51c | 4,403$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a8ddbacked Over | 51c | 4,395$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…a443backed Under | 49c | 4,379$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…02f2backed Under | 49c | 4,366$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa495…9d60backed Under | 49c | 4,363$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…74d8backed Under | 49c | 4,361$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…24f6backed Over | 51c | 4,343$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…8762backed Over | 51c | 4,330$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…50bcbacked Under | 49c | 4,266$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…48cdbacked Under | 49c | 4,255$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…f3bfbacked Under | 49c | 4,247$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…dc4abacked Over | 51c | 4,233$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…4495backed Over | 51c | 4,208$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…d5a8backed Under | 49c | 4,203$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…db40backed Under | 49c | 4,195$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…51cebacked Under | 49c | 4,178$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ae75backed Over | 51c | 4,171$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…6104backed Over | 51c | 4,163$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…0ea2backed Over | 51c | 4,161$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6246…166bbacked Over | 51c | 4,137$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…da73backed Under | 49c | 4,093$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…0d88backed Over | 51c | 4,078$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…1cc4backed Over | 51c | 4,057$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…14dbbacked Under | 49c | 4,035$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…aa25backed Under | 49c | 4,027$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…d351backed Over | 51c | 3,958$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea9…9541backed Under | 49c | 3,928$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…0205backed Under | 49c | 3,924$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 3,911$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 3,789$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 3,646$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…f687backed Over | 51c | 3,645$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Under | 48c | 3,539$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.79 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 3,132$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 47c | 3,085$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…28dabacked Under | 49c | 2,952$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…5127backed Over | 51c | 2,897$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654e…d292backed Under | 49c | 2,895$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…6e5dbacked Under | 49c | 2,889$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…6c04backed Over | 51c | 2,785$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…4b85backed Over | 51c | 2,736$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…03cfbacked Over | 51c | 2,684$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…308dbacked Over | 51c | 2,620$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…b60bbacked Over | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…8573backed Under | 49c | 2,531$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.