TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Wizards, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$949,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $949,845 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Wizards4c200,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00011955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards3c88,730$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.341,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards5c79,725$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.219018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards5c65,312$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.531,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards4c50,964$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.1447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards3c39,838$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.364337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards4c37,748$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked Wizards6c25,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Wizards5c20,588$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0102441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards0c18,942$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.464573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards1c14,960$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.521,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards1c14,672$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.087211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Wizards1c11,059$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards0c10,715$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x738a…1a9ebacked Wizards0c10,256$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208263.4%52 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wizards1c9,889$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards5c9,864$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked Wizards4c9,233$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Wizards0c8,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f8…d7d3backed Wizards4c7,410$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards0c7,004$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.565213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards3c6,823$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a5…eb4abacked Wizards0c6,542$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Wizards2c6,490$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.283912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…a329backed Wizards0c6,354$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Wizards4c5,882$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.771915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe25…8150backed Wizards3c5,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards5c5,050$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wizards0c4,493$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Wizards1c4,200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c4,180$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.588820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards2c4,127$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Wizards5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Wizards4c3,802$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Wizards6c3,644$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.221520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Wizards6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd5…3b78backed Wizards1c3,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.338326.5%22 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards5c3,284$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9b…5702backed Wizards4c3,210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Wizards4c3,105$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.377142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards2c3,070$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.534,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Wizards5c3,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards3c2,870$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.341,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b357backed Wizards5c2,674$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Wizards4c2,564$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005117.6%9 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Wizards2c2,505$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.492462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Wizards1c2,262$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Wizards4c2,145$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Wizards5c2,099$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9762347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Wizards3c2,059$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Wizards3c2,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.57518.7%14 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Wizards2c2,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Wizards2c1,717$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.881323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards2c1,569$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8420638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Wizards5c1,561$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.871,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Wizards4c1,538$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards3c1,451$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards4c1,428$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards4c1,417$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed Wizards4c1,386$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+76.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Wizards4c1,300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.39851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad8…8f04backed Wizards4c1,161$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x625f…9ff6backed Wizards3c1,144$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.755621.4%12 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Wizards5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Wizards4c1,059$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.367532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Wizards5c1,057$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Wizards5c1,001$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.034513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3728…df86backed Wizards1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ac…fc08backed Wizards4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wizards4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Wizards1c969.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ed…1c94backed Wizards4c968$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.724928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards6c926.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5823348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd372…5facbacked Wizards6c848.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.932128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Wizards4c846.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x314d…8128backed Wizards6c770$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Wizards4c769.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Wizards3c763.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515248.7%74 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Wizards3c763.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515651.9%81 W · 75 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Wizards3c759.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8316146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Wizards4c756.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Wizards4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f3…18d6backed Wizards4c734.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Wizards5c730$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0721923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Wizards3c699.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.555316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed Wizards4c687.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Wizards5c646.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.427324.5%67 W · 206 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7273…cfc3backed Wizards6c634$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.041050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Wizards5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa6…992bbacked Wizards2c594$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7165…f44cbacked Wizards6c582$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.92728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Wizards3c571.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked Wizards5c525.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c8…90c3backed Wizards5c520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Wizards4c502.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2211753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Wizards5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Wizards6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.