NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf909d86fd19683505d1a120be3ad8563a6c1c846747e46c22973abab4af1fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Wizards, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $949,845 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Wizards | 4c | 200,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 3c | 88,730$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.34 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards | 5c | 79,725$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.21 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 5c | 65,312$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.53 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 4c | 50,964$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.14 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards | 3c | 39,838$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.36 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards | 4c | 37,748$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Wizards | 6c | 25,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…c5f8backed Wizards | 5c | 20,588$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 0c | 18,942$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 1c | 14,960$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 14,672$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 1c | 11,059$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards | 0c | 10,715$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…1a9ebacked Wizards | 0c | 10,256$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wizards | 1c | 9,889$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Wizards | 5c | 9,864$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Wizards | 4c | 9,233$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Wizards | 0c | 8,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f8…d7d3backed Wizards | 4c | 7,410$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 0c | 7,004$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 3c | 6,823$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked Wizards | 0c | 6,542$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Wizards | 2c | 6,490$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Wizards | 0c | 6,354$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…54d2backed Wizards | 4c | 5,882$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…8150backed Wizards | 3c | 5,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 5c | 5,050$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Wizards | 0c | 4,493$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Wizards | 1c | 4,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 4,180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 2c | 4,127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Wizards | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Wizards | 4c | 3,802$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Wizards | 6c | 3,644$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Wizards | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…3b78backed Wizards | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards | 5c | 3,284$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…5702backed Wizards | 4c | 3,210$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Wizards | 4c | 3,105$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 2c | 3,070$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Wizards | 5c | 3,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 3c | 2,870$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Wizards | 5c | 2,674$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Wizards | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Wizards | 2c | 2,505$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Wizards | 1c | 2,262$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Wizards | 4c | 2,145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Wizards | 5c | 2,099$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…e044backed Wizards | 3c | 2,059$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Wizards | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wizards | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Wizards | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Wizards | 2c | 1,717$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards | 2c | 1,569$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wizards | 5c | 1,561$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 3c | 1,451$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards | 4c | 1,428$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Wizards | 4c | 1,386$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Wizards | 4c | 1,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…8f04backed Wizards | 4c | 1,161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Wizards | 3c | 1,144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Wizards | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Wizards | 4c | 1,059$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Wizards | 5c | 1,057$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Wizards | 5c | 1,001$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…df86backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ac…fc08backed Wizards | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Wizards | 1c | 969.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…1c94backed Wizards | 4c | 968$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards | 6c | 926.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…5facbacked Wizards | 6c | 848.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Wizards | 4c | 846.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…8128backed Wizards | 6c | 770$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Wizards | 4c | 769.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…aadcbacked Wizards | 3c | 763.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked Wizards | 3c | 763.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Wizards | 3c | 759.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Wizards | 4c | 756.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Wizards | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed Wizards | 4c | 734.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 5c | 730$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Wizards | 3c | 699.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Wizards | 4c | 687.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Wizards | 5c | 646.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 273 | 24.5%67 W · 206 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…cfc3backed Wizards | 6c | 634$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Wizards | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…992bbacked Wizards | 2c | 594$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7165…f44cbacked Wizards | 6c | 582$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Wizards | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Wizards | 5c | 525.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…90c3backed Wizards | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Wizards | 4c | 502.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wizards | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Wizards | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Knicksthis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.