TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0c8…90c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+181.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.23
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.62
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Orbit Anonymo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.19
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.49
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.52
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.69
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.71
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$71.48
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$97.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+2,841.2%+$2,863.62
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$311.51
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.6
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.06
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$35.71
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.81
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.66
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.