TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$379,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c200,669$98,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,473.2287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Over50c112,538$56,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,268.933860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c106,992$54,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,463.5566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00015644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under51c46,895$23,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,916.453129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c25,310$12,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,646.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under51c13,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6308839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c9,038$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c7,414$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under52c3,330$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.7330446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c2,795$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c2,737$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.1790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under61c2,460$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.221,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over48c2,272$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.4416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Over55c2,156$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c2,087$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.7969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c1,393$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c1,137$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.081,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under52c942.4$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c911.79$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c781.9$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under51c727.68$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0317643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c696.5$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.771,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over49c534.14$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.416852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c500.7$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c488.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c471.84$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over55c448.93$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4342845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c398.09$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under52c381.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1221550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.514940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c356.19$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.11,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c346.67$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c308.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over55c284.76$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1414152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over50c262.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c255.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c249.13$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.061,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under59c238.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2657550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over50c221.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under51c211.3$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1210745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.183253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under45c155.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9324949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c154.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.941,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over50c145.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.757455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over50c135.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Under53c128.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.033444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d12…0fa7backed Under51c104.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over50c104.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.187751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Over56c103.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1610725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c101.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c100.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4669049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c99.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3253453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4517342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5640541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under46c92.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under45c85.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under45c85.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3914640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under45c85.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.397248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under45c85.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under45c85.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3913541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under45c81.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under45c81.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.875048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Over50c72.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.286050%30 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under45c72.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5113349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under49c71.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over50c71.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.056960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over51c66.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8214753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under48c66.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9712240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under45c65.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.428548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under45c59.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9827251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c58.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.581,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under44c58.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.724841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c8…90c3backed Over51c58.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under45c58.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c57.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6949247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under51c55.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1525245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1813346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1816046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c50.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.211,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.548852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under50c49.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.87051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over54c48.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.412,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.