NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a702297f083c3b7fb057f9d3f402aeff3f7c9e37956177471f0953e3cfc190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 200,669$98,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,473.22 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Over | 50c | 112,538$56,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,268.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 106,992$54,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,463.55 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Under | 51c | 46,895$23,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,916.45 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 25,310$12,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,646.26 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 9,038$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 7,414$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.43 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.73 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 2,795$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.86 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 2,737$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.17 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 61c | 2,460$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.22 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 48c | 2,272$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.44 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Over | 55c | 2,156$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 2,087$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.79 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.81 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 1,393$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 1,137$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.08 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 52c | 942.4$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.39 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 911.79$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.39 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 781.9$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 51c | 727.68$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.03 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 696.5$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.77 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 49c | 534.14$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.41 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 500.7$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 488.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 471.84$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 55c | 448.93$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 398.09$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 52c | 381.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 356.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 346.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 308.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 55c | 284.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 262.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 50c | 255.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 249.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 59c | 238.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 50c | 221.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 51c | 211.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 45c | 155.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 154.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 135.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Under | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…0fa7backed Under | 51c | 104.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 50c | 104.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Over | 56c | 103.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 101.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 100.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 99.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 46c | 92.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 45c | 85.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 45c | 85.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 45c | 85.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 45c | 85.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 45c | 85.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 45c | 81.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 45c | 81.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 50c | 72.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 45c | 72.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 49c | 71.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 50c | 71.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 51c | 66.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Under | 48c | 66.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 45c | 65.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 45c | 59.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 58.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 44c | 58.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…90c3backed Over | 51c | 58.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 45c | 58.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 57.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 51c | 55.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 50.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 48.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5this page
- Bucks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-19.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.