NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aaf3c42e4d04cd1b09b8a1bcd41ea16c120c7954883be154e9a5b1d5fcc07d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Rockets, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Rockets | 53c | 55,021$29,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,153.77 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 47c | 23,686$11,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,553.28 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 47c | 18,968$8,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,052.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 47c | 14,079$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 50c | 13,630$6,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 47c | 12,985$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,827.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 53c | 11,829$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,265.51 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks | 47c | 11,088$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.5 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 46c | 10,023$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rockets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.91 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 48c | 8,668$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucks | 49c | 5,450$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.54 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Rockets | 53c | 4,697$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 53c | 3,849$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.81 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 48c | 3,137$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.23 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks | 48c | 2,557$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.46 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 47c | 2,203$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.19 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bucks | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.71 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Rockets | 35c | 1,102$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Rockets | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Rockets | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Rockets | 51c | 788.85$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 46c | 736$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Bucks | 48c | 709.16$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.76 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Rockets | 65c | 606.02$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Rockets | 52c | 604.92$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Bucks | 48c | 581.28$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Rockets | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Bucks | 48c | 535.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Rockets | 49c | 525.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bucks | 50c | 499.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 41c | 498.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Rockets | 75c | 496.54$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Bucks | 52c | 495.31$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.75 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Rockets | 53c | 462.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 51c | 457.35$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Rockets | 53c | 436.12$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Rockets | 50c | 428.66$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Bucks | 50c | 401.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Rockets | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Rockets | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Rockets | 54c | 368.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Rockets | 53c | 366.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Rockets | 51c | 359.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bucks | 49c | 355.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Rockets | 54c | 342.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bucks | 49c | 334.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Bucks | 48c | 323.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Bucks | 48c | 323.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Bucks | 48c | 323.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bucks | 47c | 310.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Bucks | 48c | 310.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 51c | 290.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Rockets | 50c | 290.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Bucks | 45c | 290.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets | 50c | 269.04$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Bucks | 48c | 261.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Bucks | 48c | 244.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets | 50c | 243.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Bucks | 48c | 226.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Rockets | 68c | 216.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 49c | 215.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Bucks | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Rockets | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Rockets | 54c | 191.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks | 46c | 190.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bucks | 50c | 189.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rockets | 52c | 189.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets | 50c | 185.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 48c | 178.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bucks | 45c | 171.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 56c | 153.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Rockets | 49c | 147.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Rockets | 50c | 144.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 53c | 136.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 53c | 136.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bucks | 48c | 134.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Rockets | 54c | 128.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Bucks | 48c | 127.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e8…f672backed Rockets | 54c | 126.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…7af6backed Bucks | 51c | 125.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Rockets | 57c | 125.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Rockets | 53c | 123.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bucks | 47c | 122.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bucks | 55c | 122.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Bucks | 48c | 121.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bucks | 50c | 119.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Bucks | 48c | 107.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Rockets | 53c | 107.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Rockets | 55c | 105.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Rockets | 50c | 104.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Bucks | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockets | 62c | 99.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Rockets | 51c | 98.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Rockets | 53c | 97.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)this page
- Bucks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-19.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.