TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,422 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No57c499.98$285 inWon+$214.9939265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6f6…8c20backed Yes43c352.19$150 inLost-$150.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Yes43c157.9$68 inLost-$67.73030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No56c132.4$75 inWon+$57.8439864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Yes42c96.33$41 inLost-$40.546443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6408…d6bebacked Yes43c67.49$29 inLost-$28.97156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-83.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No57c60$34 inWon+$25.7527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No58c52.79$31 inWon+$22.1715362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.