TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Over49c15,217$7,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,761.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c10,639$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,532.3515952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under52c9,432$4,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,904.8215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c6,243$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c5,499$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.011,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c5,069$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c4,998$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c4,881$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.412,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12012945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9515849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under60c3,280$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.391,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.981,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c2,908$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c2,226$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.711,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c2,063$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.8287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,913$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c1,783$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.232,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.9964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over48c1,413$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6712850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c1,245$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3722948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over46c1,157$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.7716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c1,129$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over48c1,028$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.472454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,000$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.451,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over48c944.17$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over48c853.85$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.211,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under52c841.08$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over47c824$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7218748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over18c746.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.698844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Under55c707.64$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.212542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over48c694.63$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c654.74$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.091,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over48c598.72$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c572.54$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under47c548.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over48c521.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0316845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over48c393.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7628852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under55c381.15$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.057751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c343.08$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over46c340.6$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.925540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over48c333.27$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.313148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over48c332.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.21,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1410854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under52c297.9$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over47c292.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9713352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c291.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over48c287.37$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.438646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over48c265.45$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0310750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over48c256.41$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3316450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over48c239.48$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.534641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over48c238.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8414445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over48c222.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c220.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over48c213.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8310943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c207.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over47c205.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7922351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over49c201.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over48c189.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6618744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under33c170.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under54c164.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c152.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over48c148.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0820040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over47c147.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over48c146.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0713950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over48c145.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5710940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.410753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c141.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.642,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Over48c139.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.56145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over48c133.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5216245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over48c131.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.568658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c130.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Over48c126.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.999349.5%46 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over48c125.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518e…0913backed Under53c125.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over46c121$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over49c120.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over47c118.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over33c117.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under54c115.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9414852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over52c112.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Over49c110.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under58c110.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.031,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c110.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over48c108.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over48c106.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5914145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over43c98.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over46c97.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.566842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over46c97.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7620249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6333554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5610745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c91.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.