TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Bucks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$957,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,002,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks2c87,813$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.541,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks4c38,599$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.133,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks6c38,255$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.5847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks1c22,474$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks6c20,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks2c16,411$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.911,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks2c14,006$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.971,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks3c13,925$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks5c13,508$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef8…4a8ebacked Bucks0c13,104$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bucks7c12,588$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.1741832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Bucks0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-64.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks3c10,441$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks2c10,156$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks0c9,933$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.695213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks3c9,760$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Bucks5c9,317$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.846126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks6c7,855$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.7461336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Bucks4c7,287$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.08496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Bucks7c6,960$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.2154838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…75f0backed Bucks5c6,877$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.21425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks7c6,817$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.21,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks5c6,708$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.41,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576d…3e3cbacked Bucks7c6,609$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Bucks4c6,355$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9417944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks7c5,810$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Bucks7c5,665$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.566440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Bucks5c5,038$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.953324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Bucks7c4,721$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4c…09cfbacked Bucks7c4,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Bucks7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucks4c4,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Bucks6c3,850$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5524841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks4c3,634$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.381,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa252…5b13backed Bucks6c3,600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1d…cdf6backed Bucks6c3,600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2c8…5cf2backed Bucks3c3,289$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Bucks4c2,936$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0810630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks3c2,774$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.891,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks7c2,698$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8446632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c2,569$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.158820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Bucks5c2,460$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.016628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks6c2,390$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Bucks4c2,387$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.244332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Bucks7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Bucks5c1,991$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9724937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Bucks3c1,928$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2613245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Bucks5c1,885$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2626530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bucks11c1,803$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.766547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Bucks6c1,573$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.36185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed Bucks11c1,572$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Bucks3c1,532$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.425520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe01d…4eb0backed Bucks7c1,387$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Bucks4c1,365$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.836132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked Bucks7c1,357$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucks4c1,353$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.371,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Bucks7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.421323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…0cd0backed Bucks3c1,346$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.17051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bucks3c1,294$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1436514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Bucks2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.520536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks7c1,181$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.671,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bucks4c1,167$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0642335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed Bucks2c1,166$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bucks3c1,095$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4432039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Bucks7c1,079$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.54911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks4c1,040$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585a…26ecbacked Bucks1c1,032$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.381315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…f618backed Bucks7c1,011$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…c18ebacked Bucks5c1,003$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.146716.4%11 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Bucks5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Bucks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…e3c6backed Bucks5c983.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks7c946$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.232,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Bucks3c944.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.219220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Bucks7c944.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0962539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e7…10c0backed Bucks6c944$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6411929.4%35 W · 84 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Bucks3c941.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2571044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Bucks4c941.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9728056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bucks6c800$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Bucks6c786.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1816421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks7c776.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.331,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Bucks7c755.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.887252.8%38 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Bucks3c751.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6712227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad0…e943backed Bucks7c719.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.364231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16f7…171fbacked Bucks6c711.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Bucks8c664.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2922945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Bucks5c662.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8343352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Bucks3c647.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8353141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucks5c645.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.311,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Bucks7c614.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8957537.4%215 W · 360 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bucks5c601.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0727241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed Bucks4c586.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.564146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…f201backed Bucks3c577.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks7c577.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Bucks6c566.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9722544.4%100 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe644…76b6backed Bucks8c552.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…4824backed Bucks4c550.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed Bucks7c539.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.774623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Bucks4c527.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.661926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.