NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959883a6adc8eb44d89cd8f610a8de618ab688a109df86fa9aa3bb490b3ab025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Rockets, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 45c | 20,143$9,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,132.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets | 57c | 19,758$11,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,261.96 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 53c | 13,804$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.08 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Rockets | 48c | 9,649$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.29 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 52c | 9,066$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.68 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 58c | 6,677$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.18 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Bucks | 47c | 4,898$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 48c | 3,854$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,973$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks | 48c | 2,674$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks | 48c | 2,329$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.08 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bucks | 51c | 2,099$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.37 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 62c | 1,757$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Bucks | 44c | 1,713$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.21 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Rockets | 49c | 1,434$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.46 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,367$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 34c | 1,273$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Rockets | 50c | 998.28$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Rockets | 9c | 979.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 47c | 941.12$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 24c | 938.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 50c | 858.88$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Rockets | 54c | 841.31$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.68 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucks | 43c | 835.35$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Rockets | 63c | 789.73$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 47c | 738.62$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.78 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Rockets | 49c | 714.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 57c | 678.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 22c | 633.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Rockets | 51c | 535.18$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Rockets | 50c | 501$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Bucks | 43c | 426$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Rockets | 53c | 418.26$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Rockets | 49c | 415.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 54c | 411.39$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…e01fbacked Rockets | 54c | 400.8$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Bucks | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Rockets | 56c | 391.26$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Rockets | 53c | 388.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rockets | 57c | 354.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bucks | 50c | 336.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Bucks | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bucks | 49c | 316.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 51c | 298.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Rockets | 53c | 294.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Bucks | 48c | 292.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Rockets | 50c | 271.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bucks | 49c | 267.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets | 50c | 254.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Rockets | 54c | 250.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 49c | 227.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bucks | 49c | 223.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rockets | 53c | 220.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 39c | 208.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Bucks | 52c | 201.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Rockets | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Rockets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Rockets | 54c | 189.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Bucks | 51c | 188.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Bucks | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Rockets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Rockets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Bucks | 45c | 173.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Rockets | 59c | 165.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Bucks | 47c | 157.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Rockets | 49c | 155.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Bucks | 53c | 143.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks | 46c | 142.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Rockets | 57c | 140.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Rockets | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Bucks | 51c | 132.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Rockets | 61c | 126.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Rockets | 50c | 126.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Bucks | 48c | 123.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bucks | 47c | 123.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bucks | 50c | 114.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Bucks | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Rockets | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Rockets | 54c | 102.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Rockets | 54c | 102.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bucks | 52c | 100.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Bucks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Bucks | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bucks | 27c | 93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Rockets | 54c | 84.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Bucks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…7af6backed Bucks | 79c | 79.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Bucks | 47c | 78.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 49c | 77.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 56c | 68.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Rockets | 48c | 67.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bucks | 43c | 67.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Rockets | 53c | 65.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Rockets | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Bucks | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)this page
- Bucks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-19.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.