NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac270f0953df1e6c409e1bbf49a05c1ddc5d0c095a8207b68a2614195f228910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 46c | 10,223$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.3 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 3,627$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.29 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 60c | 2,251$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 2,060$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.85 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,636$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.23 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 44c | 1,231$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.36 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 1,216$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.93 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Under | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 668.7$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 615.32$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 454.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 17c | 343.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 303.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 58c | 175.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 46c | 171.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Under | 58c | 168.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 155.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Under | 64c | 130$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 107.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 106.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 102.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 55c | 89.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Over | 50c | 87.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 34c | 86.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Under | 54c | 72.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 55c | 63.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Under | 56c | 57.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 54.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Over | 46c | 53.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 45c | 50.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 46c | 34.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…d7bdbacked Over | 43c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 53c | 26.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…1fb2backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…e1f0backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 22.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5this page
- Bucks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-19.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.