TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c232,951$119,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,059.987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under48c123,613$59,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,334.1315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over50c57,302$28,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,466.4611137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c25,211$12,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,459.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c8,644$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c5,551$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c5,330$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.622,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c5,091$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.5870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4503129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,560$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c4,355$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.951,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c3,940$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c3,530$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.2890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c3,507$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.421,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c3,507$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.421,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under49c3,395$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c2,869$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.4931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c2,499$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under50c2,392$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.014535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under50c2,134$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0676746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c1,969$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c1,890$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.41,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under40c1,406$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.2720536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c1,383$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6462,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,312$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c1,231$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.1916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5920651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under48c909.31$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4727241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c894.69$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under50c890.82$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4111033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c836.42$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c810.63$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over41c593.04$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.578844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over64c587.91$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.652,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c585.88$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.941,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c519.53$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c495$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over80c379.24$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6510764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under66c303.03$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under50c220.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.116249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c205.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under49c196.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under49c192$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0321550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c190.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c188.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.221347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c174.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c164.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.185,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c156.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c145.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c145$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c143.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over52c142.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5329352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c140.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.891,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3219166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c131.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Under74c130.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.112369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c126.26$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c121.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c120.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Under48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under49c101.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8811453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4723840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over43c96.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2820349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6353453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over53c91.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3915252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under51c91.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under50c91.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over52c88.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.816960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under53c88.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5857550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over19c63.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.815250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under49c58.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under50c55.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.823048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under50c49.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under50c48.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4319650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c40.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17e…c12ebacked Under50c39.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.674860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Over52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.655048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.655933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6521952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over62c37.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3616369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c37.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.473,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under50c37.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5915459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over51c33.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06ce…c202backed Over49c32.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.621040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under70c28.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c26.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.