NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17dc492df37fe87e4d10919c63e16407dfbc1dc85736ebe9199191d102fbc8c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 232,951$119,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,059.9 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 48c | 123,613$59,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,334.13 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 50c | 57,302$28,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,466.46 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 25,211$12,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,459.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 8,644$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 5,551$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 5,330$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 5,091$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.58 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,560$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 4,355$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.95 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 3,940$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 3,530$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.28 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 3,507$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 3,507$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 49c | 3,395$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.34 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 2,869$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.49 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 2,499$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 50c | 2,392$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.01 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 50c | 2,134$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 1,969$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.55 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 1,890$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 40c | 1,406$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.27 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 1,383$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,312$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.81 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.19 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 909.31$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.47 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 894.69$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.59 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 50c | 890.82$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.41 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 836.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 810.63$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 41c | 593.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 64c | 587.91$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 585.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.94 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 519.53$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 49c | 495$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 379.24$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 66c | 303.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 50c | 220.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 205.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 49c | 196.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 49c | 192$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 50c | 190.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 45c | 188.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 174.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 164.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 156.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 145.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 50c | 145$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 143.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 142.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 140.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 131.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Under | 74c | 130.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 126.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 121.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 120.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 49c | 101.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 43c | 96.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 53c | 91.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 51c | 91.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 50c | 91.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 52c | 88.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 88.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 19c | 63.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 58.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 50c | 55.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 50c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 50c | 48.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 40.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Under | 50c | 39.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Over | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 62c | 37.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 37.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 50c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 51c | 33.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed Over | 49c | 32.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 26.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5this page
- Bucks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Rockets (-19.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.