TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb39b…14c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT4240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.72
Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$4.15
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$8.55
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$16.54
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.49
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.73
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$42.1
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$13.05
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.5
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.74
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$18.85
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.35
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.38
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.36
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.73
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.44
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.5
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.35
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.19
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.36
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.03
Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.3
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.56
Blues vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.5
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$6.75
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Red Wings vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.48
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$19.52
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.03
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53%+$10.15
Kraken vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.82
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-1.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.48
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$16.26
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$6.43
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.21
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.64
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.68
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+83.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$34.32
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+120.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$34.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.