NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322ca86c74705ef929bff93a5a2a0dd29f4bc402f21f601165cb0fb8c3082d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Over | 51c | 86,947$44,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,342.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Under | 52c | 33,088$17,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,026.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Under | 49c | 24,586$12,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,538.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 20,643$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,517.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 19,904$9,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.05 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 17,561$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,955.95 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 8,447$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.34 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Over | 49c | 6,959$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 6,117$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Over | 49c | 4,536$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 51c | 3,324$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.4 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 2,931$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.14 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 2,206$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 2,091$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.72 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.11 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,964$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Under | 55c | 1,579$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.04 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,369$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 1,207$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.58 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 49c | 1,205$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Over | 48c | 1,026$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 987.99$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 975.8$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.66 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 52c | 969.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 52c | 950.77$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.26 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 48c | 934.99$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 934$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 49c | 656.11$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 615.64$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 48c | 611.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 15c | 573.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 540.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 530$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 48c | 496.08$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 434.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 48c | 406.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 49c | 394$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 48c | 351.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 5c | 339.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 5c | 306.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 52c | 295.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 48c | 281.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 276.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 270.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 41c | 236.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 51c | 207.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 49c | 199.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 8c | 194$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 190.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 163.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 143.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 52c | 132.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 128.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 121.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 119.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 49c | 112.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 109.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Under | 55c | 107.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Under | 52c | 104.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 102.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 53c | 92.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Under | 52c | 80.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 49c | 78.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 52c | 77.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Over | 50c | 73.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 73.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 51c | 68.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 61.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 58.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 49c | 57.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Under | 54c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 48c | 51.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…ebeabacked Over | 51c | 51.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 50c | 49.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 60c | 44.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 43.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 43.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 49c | 41.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 41.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 40.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Marvin Bagley III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.