NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57fa097a7ff221577b83c3e70cd36bb3689c200d5a82c96ed3623f77ec3e7072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,700,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,858,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,700,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks | 30c | 142,849$42,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,854.69 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 73c | 98,895$71,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,990.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 30c | 94,655$28,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,396.48 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Mavericks | 23c | 78,372$18,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,025.53 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Timberwolves | 78c | 49,527$38,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,094.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 49,370$34,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,811 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 39,762$28,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,667.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves | 70c | 37,756$26,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,326.76 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks | 23c | 35,050$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.58 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Timberwolves | 77c | 30,620$23,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,042.63 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 19c | 30,115$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Timberwolves | 77c | 29,676$22,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,971.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Mavericks | 1c | 29,474$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…7903backed Mavericks | 27c | 26,046$7,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,001.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Mavericks | 1c | 24,912$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.11 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 75c | 24,588$18,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.83 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Mavericks | 24c | 22,452$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.38 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 22,153$16,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 79c | 21,733$17,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Mavericks | 24c | 21,129$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.9 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks | 1c | 19,990$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 75c | 19,351$14,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.16 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 25c | 15,620$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.41 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Mavericks | 24c | 14,241$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 25c | 12,681$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 11,599$8,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Timberwolves | 71c | 11,128$7,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.24 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 10,880$8,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.27 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Mavericks | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Timberwolves | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Mavericks | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.95 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mavericks | 27c | 9,996$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.86 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Mavericks | 8c | 9,990$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.37 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Mavericks | 23c | 9,593$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.43 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks | 25c | 9,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Mavericks | 0c | 8,300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Mavericks | 24c | 7,954$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.88 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 20c | 7,823$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Timberwolves | 76c | 7,802$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.4 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mavericks | 7c | 7,553$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.7 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Timberwolves | 75c | 7,445$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.14 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 7,315$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Timberwolves | 73c | 7,158$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.57 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 6,787$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.1 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Mavericks | 26c | 6,786$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 6,679$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.48 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Timberwolves | 70c | 6,477$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.73 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mavericks | 29c | 6,459$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 1c | 6,193$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mavericks | 11c | 6,107$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.61 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 25c | 5,914$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks | 28c | 5,508$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.05 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 5,271$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.25 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 5,100$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Timberwolves | 76c | 5,085$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 28c | 5,074$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.47 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Mavericks | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Mavericks | 30c | 4,937$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.1 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Mavericks | 20c | 4,828$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.68 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Mavericks | 24c | 4,794$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.62 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks | 28c | 4,702$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.96 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed Mavericks | 24c | 4,281$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 16c | 4,170$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…50f0backed Timberwolves | 75c | 4,139$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.58 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Mavericks | 29c | 4,108$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.61 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Timberwolves | 70c | 4,086$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.67 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Timberwolves | 73c | 4,061$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.47 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 27c | 4,002$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.57 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340e…36f4backed Timberwolves | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 3,993$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.02 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 1c | 3,965$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 3,960$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…f467backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,955$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 10c | 3,832$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.74 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Mavericks | 5c | 3,633$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,542$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.22 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Mavericks | 28c | 3,528$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.9 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks | 0c | 3,426$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Timberwolves | 77c | 3,409$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.1 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Timberwolves | 71c | 3,408$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Timberwolves | 70c | 3,287$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Mavericks | 0c | 3,206$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 3,206$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.47 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Mavericks | 25c | 3,164$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,973$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.88 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Mavericks | 4c | 2,969$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Mavericks | 21c | 2,950$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.49 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 75c | 2,881$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Mavericks | 29c | 2,860$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.4 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 78c | 2,846$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.64 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 23c | 2,846$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Mavericks | 25c | 2,828$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.96 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…ff91backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,563$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 2,539$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.24 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Mavericks | 26c | 2,471$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,448$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.92 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericksthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Marvin Bagley III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.