NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6a79e775557aa6809f8c2babeba7edf1b54a490e1a3ef7ca04dc50a62f5e02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 52,716$29,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,159.24 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 52,025$27,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,971.88 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 44c | 37,525$16,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,511.15 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 27,090$16,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,536.88 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Mavericks | 48c | 20,521$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850.24 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 44c | 19,781$8,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 46c | 14,343$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 12,156$6,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.02 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 9c | 10,950$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 50c | 9,925$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,094$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 54c | 6,813$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.79 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Mavericks | 48c | 6,156$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.07 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,541$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.56 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,750$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.45 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves | 25c | 4,647$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.56 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,056$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.88 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,905$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Mavericks | 48c | 3,899$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.55 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,891$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Mavericks | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,001$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.48 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,953$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…298dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,914$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,901$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,858$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.13 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 2,821$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.05 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 45c | 2,757$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.85 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,561$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.5 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,513$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.27 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,159$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.4 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 2,001$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.53 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.94 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,985$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.14 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,969$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,791$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.03 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,583$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.44 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,354$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.67 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,322$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 1,175$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,038$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.75 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Mavericks | 45c | 979.23$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.65 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Timberwolves | 27c | 979$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.31 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Timberwolves | 56c | 972.57$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Timberwolves | 25c | 955$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.55 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Timberwolves | 17c | 925$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.75 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Timberwolves | 6c | 900$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Timberwolves | 6c | 900$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +441.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Mavericks | 45c | 780.24$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.11 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Timberwolves | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Mavericks | 45c | 736.91$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.61 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Timberwolves | 14c | 720$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Timberwolves | 14c | 720$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 720$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 700$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Timberwolves | 34c | 700$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Timberwolves | 14c | 700$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Timberwolves | 14c | 700$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Timberwolves | 29c | 691$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.45 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Mavericks | 45c | 666.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 631$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.44 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Timberwolves | 32c | 620.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.93 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Timberwolves | 13c | 615$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.05 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Timberwolves | 32c | 613$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.05 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Mavericks | 36c | 604.73$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.92 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Timberwolves | 14c | 600$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves | 30c | 593$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.27 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…44f7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 557.58$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Timberwolves | 26c | 544$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.38 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks | 49c | 502.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Timberwolves | 61c | 498.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Mavericks | 54c | 485.25$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.04 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 435.84$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Timberwolves | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Timberwolves | 13c | 400$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Timberwolves | 6c | 400$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Timberwolves | 6c | 400$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Timberwolves | 55c | 395.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 369.46$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Timberwolves | 17c | 359$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Timberwolves | 14c | 350$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Timberwolves | 14c | 350$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Timberwolves | 32c | 327$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Timberwolves | 65c | 308.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mavericks | 48c | 307.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Timberwolves | 29c | 304$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Mavericks | 49c | 302.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 300$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Timberwolves | 14c | 300$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Timberwolves | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Timberwolves | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Timberwolves | 14c | 300$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Timberwolves | 6c | 289.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 59c | 280.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Marvin Bagley III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.