NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92abe08d0f02ea17334984d2c8dfd6173003cebbd52d4ce5132eb2a266f0792e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 47,951$24,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,325.8 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40,623$20,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,311.45 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Mavericks | 49c | 28,913$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,167.35 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 50c | 23,544$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,772.23 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Mavericks | 49c | 20,407$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.66 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 11,820$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.99 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,075$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 48c | 6,571$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,126$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.14 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,607$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,955$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.5 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,900$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,898$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,812$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,674$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.03 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Mavericks | 49c | 901.28$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 753.6$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.26 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 520.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 500.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.37 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 483.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 404.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Mavericks | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Timberwolves | 51c | 386.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 249.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 230.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 55c | 214.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 193.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Timberwolves | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Mavericks | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 154.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…6fc6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 149.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 51c | 143.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 124.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Mavericks | 50c | 106.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Mavericks | 44c | 98.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks | 44c | 91.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Mavericks | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Mavericks | 50c | 75.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 50c | 68.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 48.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Mavericks | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Mavericks | 52c | 33.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Mavericks | 50c | 31.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Mavericks | 50c | 29.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…e61dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12ae…17eebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Mavericks | 49c | 27.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Timberwolves | 62c | 20.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…476dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Marvin Bagley III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.