NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe46ef1d5e483b77c2b9315edc171c2a3fff3febdcbf6287f605cadee4ae53cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 51c | 89,920$45,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,060.61 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 29,993$14,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,996.38 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 19,700$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Over | 49c | 17,087$8,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,372.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 10,117$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 49c | 9,908$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.68 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 51c | 9,668$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725.53 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 7,769$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.68 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 49c | 7,516$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.93 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 7,063$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 49c | 6,565$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.72 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 5c | 6,223$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 5,910$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.92 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 49c | 5,428$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.52 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 5,156$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.54 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 5,004$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.88 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 52c | 4,964$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.06 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 4,957$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 4,912$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.62 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…298dbacked Over | 49c | 4,885$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 49c | 4,020$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.01 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 3,349$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.07 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 2,559$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 48c | 2,541$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.73 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 52c | 2,114$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.24 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Over | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.01 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 1,920$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.18 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 1,845$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.45 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,769$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,753$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 1,602$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,187$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Over | 49c | 1,114$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.1 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Under | 48c | 1,026$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 28c | 1,024$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.27 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 52c | 1,021$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.92 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 996.82$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 895.05$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.57 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 49c | 860.37$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.58 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 3c | 829.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 805.61$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.61 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Over | 52c | 779.74$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 52c | 709.96$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.78 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 54c | 707.81$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.22 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 51c | 643.15$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 41c | 555.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 49c | 517.13$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.39 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 52c | 492.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 51c | 492.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 53c | 455.41$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 451.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 53c | 425.54$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 425.52$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 388.81$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 46c | 374.47$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 54c | 364.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 355.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 337.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 49c | 320.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…e38cbacked Over | 8c | 308.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Under | 49c | 301.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 53c | 295.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 279.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 275.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 22c | 260.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 250.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 245.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 49c | 241.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 230.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 229.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 49c | 224.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 220.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 51c | 202.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…5066backed Under | 49c | 197$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 50c | 191.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 177.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 170.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 50c | 168.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 46c | 165.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 49c | 160.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 50c | 159.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over | 53c | 157.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 9c | 157$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 49c | 156.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 11c | 155.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 54c | 151.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 48c | 147.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Marvin Bagley III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.