TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under51c89,920$45,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,060.6143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c29,993$14,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,996.381,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c19,700$9,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,85026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Over49c17,087$8,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,372.551844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over35c10,117$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,491.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c9,908$4,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,854.6818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under51c9,668$4,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,725.5316547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over53c7,769$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.6848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over49c7,516$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.9317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c7,063$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over49c6,565$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.7229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over5c6,223$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over49c5,910$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.921,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over49c5,428$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.5218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over49c5,156$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.5415141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c5,004$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.8837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over52c4,964$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.064744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c4,957$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c4,912$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.621,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Over49c4,885$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over49c4,020$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.018647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c3,349$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.072,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c2,559$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over48c2,541$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.735349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,500$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under52c2,114$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.241,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.014658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c1,920$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.1887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over50c1,845$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.456547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c1,769$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,753$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,602$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c1,500$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,187$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over49c1,114$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.110651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under48c1,026$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.558859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over28c1,024$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.272,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over52c1,021$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9220846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c996.82$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.451,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c895.05$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.571,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over49c860.37$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over3c829.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c805.61$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.611,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Over52c779.74$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.463850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under52c709.96$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7824247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over54c707.81$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.228853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under51c643.15$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1410945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over41c555.47$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6214243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over49c517.13$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3914049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over52c492.51$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1111556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under51c492.5$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.338951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over53c455.41$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c451.82$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over53c425.54$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over50c425.52$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c402.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20815650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c388.81$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.852,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under46c374.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over54c364.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0219045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c355.07$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c337.23$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over49c320.13$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8623850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…e38cbacked Over8c308.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.760%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Under49c301.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.786250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over53c295.52$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6221653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over50c290$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c279.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under52c275.2$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.11,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over22c260.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c250.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over49c245.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over49c241.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.214445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c230.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c229.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.151,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Over49c224.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.55520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c220.75$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under51c202.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3711157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.543447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…5066backed Under49c197$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.471258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over50c191.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7716450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c177.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.843,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over49c170.23$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over50c168.44$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2222351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under46c165.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2416242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Over49c160.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.86342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over50c159.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9424949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over53c157.61$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.538052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over9c157$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over49c156.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4522945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over11c155.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8811128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over54c151.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.721748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c147.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.