NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f2780716263f3e1558db2992c78db657c7a323cd5ad93413e1868958cc26df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 33,324$19,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,613.61 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 41c | 8,398$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.13 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 8,344$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,147$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.73 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks | 49c | 7,381$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.79 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 56c | 7,114$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.52 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 41c | 6,511$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 41c | 6,419$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Mavericks | 44c | 5,598$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.26 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 33c | 3,557$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks | 44c | 3,262$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.13 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,195$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 3,161$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…c3fbbacked Mavericks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks | 41c | 2,682$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,306$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.48 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Mavericks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,969$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 30c | 1,885$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,729$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.29 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,539$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,445$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.75 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Mavericks | 21c | 1,387$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 23c | 1,325$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8336…9b31backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,084$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Timberwolves | 76c | 1,042$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…7f6dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 985.02$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Mavericks | 51c | 966.07$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…761bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 886.52$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 880$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 57c | 849.32$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.21 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Mavericks | 42c | 752.86$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 689.5$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.75 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 40c | 597.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Mavericks | 41c | 465.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Mavericks | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 389.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 386.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks | 41c | 343.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 308.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Mavericks | 6c | 286.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Mavericks | 44c | 285.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Mavericks | 45c | 274.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 51c | 265.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 28c | 241.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Mavericks | 41c | 234.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 41c | 214.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves | 57c | 209.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Mavericks | 21c | 208.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 206.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 206.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 206.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Timberwolves | 53c | 197.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 193.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Timberwolves | 51c | 193.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Timberwolves | 51c | 191.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Timberwolves | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Timberwolves | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks | 41c | 181.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks | 43c | 162.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 45c | 161$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Timberwolves | 59c | 158.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Mavericks | 16c | 154.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 146.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Mavericks | 21c | 141.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Timberwolves | 51c | 126.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 108.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 108.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Mavericks | 49c | 98.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Mavericks | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 96.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Timberwolves | 52c | 94.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 94.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks | 36c | 84.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Timberwolves | 59c | 84.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mavericks | 31c | 83.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Mavericks | 44c | 79.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 53c | 74.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Mavericks | 23c | 74.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Mavericks | 41c | 72.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Mavericks | 47c | 70.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Timberwolves | 51c | 65.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Mavericks | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 51c | 49.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 49.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…ca51backed Timberwolves | 74c | 47.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 47.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Mavericks | 39c | 44.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Timberwolves | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked Mavericks | 50c | 43.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Marvin Bagley III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.