TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6937…7340

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT11145.9%51 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.32
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.46
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.16
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.74
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.68
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$42.36
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.06
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.54
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.82
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$7.21
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.87
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.54
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.9%+$6.78
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Menorca: Daniel Rincon vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.25
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.24
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.4%+$5.09
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.85
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.