TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,125,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,146,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,125,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Over49c600,298$293,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293,627.28747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c482,401$234,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234,421.8647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c337,679$160,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,127.3253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under51c316,800$161,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,231.7627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under52c299,999$155,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,999.565154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Under53c240,000$127,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Under52c206,419$106,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,613.046100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under51c199,998$101,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,99917454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Over49c186,363$91,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,317.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Over49c145,250$71,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,172.560%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c121,949$62,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,754.9631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c106,379$51,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,888.5347738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c101,868$45,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,595.2150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,999.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Over48c96,000$46,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,0801752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Under52c92,690$48,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,491.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c80,674$43,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,884.4773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Under52c78,000$40,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over48c70,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,599.963366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c64,005$32,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,603.4775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c54,647$27,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,776.9416955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Under52c49,165$25,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,599.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a9…e9b6backed Over49c45,197$22,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,146.7340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Under51c43,877$22,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,499.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under54c42,091$22,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,395.1612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c33,052$17,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,000.444148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ef…4e3cbacked Over48c32,469$15,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,585.31833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c31,200$16,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,97616860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c30,232$14,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,686.2939447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c29,336$14,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,374.643033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c27,888$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,588.251,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over50c21,934$10,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,966.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over8c20,693$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.074555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c20,417$10,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,806.6319152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over21c15,524$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.591546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9824056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.8383147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c12,342$6,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.492638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c2…f884backed Over9c12,111$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over49c11,137$5,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,457.143043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c11,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28024957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Over48c10,264$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.671127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under52c10,087$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over49c9,974$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,936.4120757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over11c9,824$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.552441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under53c9,602$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.891952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under51c9,411$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.393148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Under52c9,052$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under51c8,333$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,083.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8406451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Under52c7,847$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under51c7,777$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.722369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c6,837$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.93253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c4,916$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.8325744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under62c4,863$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.0728556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c4,682$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.0923244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5607…d320backed Over49c4,312$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+78.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Under52c4,070$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8804847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9917251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c3,900$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91151352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Over50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9005658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c3,750$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.495149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under51c3,500$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70526650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over49c3,461$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69613752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56813641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over8c3,181$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6510537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4705362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over49c2,911$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.462152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c2,608$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.849447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Under52c2,538$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.463554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over55c2,460$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c2,352$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.4831450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over33c2,339$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under63c2,259$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.0548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00828447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Under52c2,075$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Under51c2,059$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.822948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.993256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.982152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7811255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,949$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.259855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84c…c193backed Under52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.49944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.