TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,612 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cc8…e458backed Over42c545.39$229 inWon+$316.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under57c449.97$256 inLost-$256.486844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb0…7263backed Under61c362$221 inLost-$220.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Under56c340.62$192 inLost-$191.9710346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a8…f341backed Over40c264$105 inWon+$158.54922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon+$127.271947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under59c170.32$101 inLost-$101.2555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0196…b9c3backed Over41c157.13$65 inWon+$92.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over28c111.68$32 inWon+$80.185679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under56c110.91$62 inLost-$62.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Under60c100$60 inLost-$609136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over40c100$40 inWon+$6014344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Under57c100$57 inLost-$5727835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x737c…a65dbacked Over37c100$37 inWon+$631450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Under73c88.61$65 inLost-$64.571020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3299…c118backed Under65c76.35$50 inLost-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c5…88d0backed Over42c71.43$30 inWon+$41.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over37c66.7$25 inWon+$41.692450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Over43c50$22 inWon+$28.537556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon+$25.456550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…d101backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon+$25.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+181.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9c…ad87backed Over34c39.96$14 inWon+$26.371225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Over39c35$14 inWon+$21.353450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Over43c34.88$15 inWon+$19.886246.8%29 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…5cacbacked Over44c34.09$15 inWon+$19.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under56c33.12$19 inLost-$18.558164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over38c28.87$11 inWon+$17.8731032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed Under61c27.13$17 inLost-$16.555479.6%43 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x66f3…bde4backed Over44c25$11 inWon+$143250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.