TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No79c3,151$2,489 inWon+$661.6883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36c1…deecbacked Yes21c857.14$180 inLost-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost-$1008130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48a5…0f2dbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked No80c291.21$233 inWon+$58.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2be…0dd3backed Yes21c238.42$50 inLost-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd869…7a08backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-84%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost-$503231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…d101backed Yes20c200$40 inLost-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+181.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No80c179.5$143 inWon+$36.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost-$40875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No80c161.43$129 inWon+$32.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No80c143.3$115 inWon+$28.663655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes19c100$19 inLost-$191838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a70…3fc8backed Yes24c100$24 inLost-$241526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…3437backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-79.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x180b…c669backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+66.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost-$2011454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa09d…f311backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b41…a6f3backed Yes20c75$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No76c71.65$54 inWon+$17.213756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff0…2e7fbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost-$151471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84e0…439abacked Yes21c70$15 inLost-$14.760%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No79c60$47 inWon+$12.61931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeae…6412backed Yes21c60$13 inLost-$12.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No79c45.56$36 inWon+$9.731866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No80c28$22 inWon+$5.65479.6%43 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No80c25.7$21 inWon+$5.1410731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.