TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eda…93ccbacked Under55c880$480 inLost-$480.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c768.45$341 inWon+$427.4473651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under68c735.29$500 inLost-$5003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over16c500$80 inWon+$4201625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over46c380$175 inWon+$205.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under60c320.81$192 inLost-$192.15520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ca…3d64backed Under51c140$72 inLost-$71.83030%9 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over49c100$49 inWon+$5113065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92b8…9592backed Under62c68.45$42 inLost-$42.44147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-84.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c40$19 inWon+$20.815952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c31.74$17 inLost-$17.1610858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c25.87$13 inLost-$12.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under54c18.52$10 inLost-$10.092634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.