TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Over26c2,025$535 inWon+$1,489.74555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7476…d670backed Under3c1,500$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over42c1,144$480 inWon+$663.445149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over44c1,144$503 inWon+$640.5612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under58c1,118$648 inLost-$648.443043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under78c1,028$806 inLost-$805.82520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under66c912.26$600 inLost-$6003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under42c737$309 inLost-$309.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under76c343.14$261 inLost-$260.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under9c326$28 inLost-$27.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over40c308.77$125 inWon+$183.9473651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under40c200$80 inLost-$79.6468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over33c200$66 inWon+$134250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d56…d62ebacked Over40c199.99$80 inWon+$1203129%9 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Over42c161.36$68 inWon+$93.592334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under59c156.73$93 inLost-$92.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over41c129.27$53 inWon+$76.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c103.45$60 inLost-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under30c100.43$30 inLost-$30.1314952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over35c100$35 inWon+$65560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d4…8194backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon+$35.221764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7333…5940backed Over49c59.69$29 inWon+$30.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under76c57.71$44 inLost-$43.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+60.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x059b…1b12backed Over60c50$30 inWon+$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over24c49.41$12 inWon+$37.4313065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Under62c30$19 inLost-$18.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Under76c26.32$20 inLost-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c23.8$13 inWon+$10.715952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Under58c20.69$12 inLost-$129263%58 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under50c20$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under58c18.97$11 inLost-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1103…37c5backed Under64c15.63$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.