TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Hunter Henry: First Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
No Touchdownof Hunter Henry, No Touchdown
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd864…497ebacked Hunter Henry7c4,286$300 inLost-$3001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Hunter Henry7c3,571$250 inLost-$25018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Hunter Henry5c1,955$102 inLost-$101.7310537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Hunter Henry7c714.29$50 inLost-$508130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Hunter Henry7c714.29$50 inLost-$5014951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Hunter Henry7c714.29$50 inLost-$503231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…ab9dbacked Hunter Henry7c714.29$50 inLost-$504346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Hunter Henry7c714.29$50 inLost-$502040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+65%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Hunter Henry15c647.69$100 inLost-$10016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Hunter Henry21c483.15$100 inLost-$1007034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd6d…c17fbacked Hunter Henry7c285.71$20 inLost-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Hunter Henry9c277.78$25 inLost-$252924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Hunter Henry8c250$20 inLost-$2016243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8842…834ebacked Hunter Henry7c248.66$19 inLost-$18.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b9…8811backed Hunter Henry9c222.22$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Hunter Henry7c200$14 inLost-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.