TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5da4…e203backed Under51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,5003548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c43,572$21,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,350.1116955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c12,500$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.9783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c12,459$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.1524957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd8…ec3bbacked Over50c8,358$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Over49c7,950$3,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.560%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75aa…a5b3backed Under50c6,947$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…a448backed Over49c5,376$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…08edbacked Under51c5,248$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa217…ab47backed Over51c4,020$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4654…fbf2backed Under49c4,020$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815c…41afbacked Over51c3,792$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff9…2b09backed Over50c3,663$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x856a…f95ebacked Under50c3,643$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x862c…1f4ebacked Under51c3,481$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…66f9backed Over49c3,312$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f91…169cbacked Under50c3,282$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3204…c85bbacked Over50c3,221$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b08…395bbacked Under50c2,644$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea4…8403backed Under49c2,605$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8274…89bbbacked Over50c2,514$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9e…fdb6backed Under51c2,378$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd753…dffdbacked Under50c2,201$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b9…8665backed Under50c2,176$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea8…8e20backed Over50c2,155$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…e5efbacked Over50c2,113$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7489…7b68backed Under49c1,921$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over9c1,758$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.383625%9 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1fc…fbaebacked Over50c1,757$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c1,652$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.5618745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dbf…dd17backed Under50c1,564$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb325…022fbacked Over49c1,486$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a1…72c9backed Under49c1,458$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0b3fbacked Over51c1,336$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c1,257$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.436251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa84…65dcbacked Over50c1,063$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8391…65f5backed Under50c1,041$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Under50c1,011$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.79754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf8…372bbacked Over49c930.69$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x650f…22e6backed Over51c855.36$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82c…b020backed Under51c846.19$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c805.52$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.89855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2412548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over17c499.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe917…3250backed Under51c278.86$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2472…f7e0backed Under51c276.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c254.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.723661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd1c…d074backed Under50c240.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c237$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1326649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1752…941dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfafd…8837backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a8…4366backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over47c175.68$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5727633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c174$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0713…49edbacked Over50c140.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c9…3b80backed Over50c132.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f4…be56backed Under50c109.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Over49c102.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.993826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed18…86e4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Over49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4318843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3c…7efbbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17c…4566backed Over50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Under51c47.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1931032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c43.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.792532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d7…8b52backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b29…a0aabacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…1db1backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c36.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over52c36.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.065040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188835.2%31 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20a9…e9b6backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c35.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c34.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9313756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over49c29.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.472236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x13d4…8194backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf538…7a01backed Over54c25.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed Under52c20.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cc…094fbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b68…f0efbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…2077backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51d3…7604backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.