TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Over34c12,063$4,147 inWon+$7,915.783655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under65c7,109$4,591 inLost-$4,590.9119651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under65c6,813$4,447 inLost-$4,446.653850%19 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over39c2,066$806 inWon+$1,2602560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over66c454.05$300 inWon+$154.0513652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under33c300$99 inLost-$998535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under36c100$36 inLost-$362931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under65c99.53$64 inLost-$64.333548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Under69c87.2$60 inLost-$60.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Under36c65.78$24 inLost-$23.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Under36c59.33$22 inLost-$21.586521.5%14 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over64c50$32 inWon+$181080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Under47c42.17$20 inLost-$2031032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e8…91bcbacked Over68c31.81$22 inWon+$10.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under35c30.94$11 inLost-$10.825679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b56…6431backed Over62c30.81$19 inWon+$11.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09bf…fd00backed Under62c20.07$12 inLost-$12.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over64c15.78$10 inWon+$5.683467.6%23 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+60.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.