TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10d5…af7fbacked Patriots0c19,870$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Patriots38c8,677$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.2524056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Seahawks62c7,554$4,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks61c6,285$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.3183147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots38c5,386$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.9910648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f6…83fcbacked Seahawks63c4,220$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a0…39b2backed Patriots37c4,072$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300a…4345backed Seahawks64c3,800$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b8…4d4dbacked Patriots36c3,707$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…6d3bbacked Seahawks63c3,452$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Patriots11c3,432$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots39c3,374$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31618650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d62…527abacked Patriots37c3,317$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Seahawks62c3,179$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.025339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks66c2,964$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.4775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Seahawks64c2,845$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.337557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…f6e5backed Patriots37c2,679$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7606…ffafbacked Seahawks63c2,673$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed Seahawks68c2,362$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbc…0d3abacked Seahawks63c2,260$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc8…0e75backed Patriots37c2,229$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Patriots36c2,211$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9c…748fbacked Seahawks64c2,205$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Seahawks61c2,200$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.9826650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b2…e53bbacked Patriots36c2,200$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Seahawks61c1,968$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…f637backed Seahawks63c1,947$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x394c…1742backed Seahawks63c1,939$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab1…9c6dbacked Patriots37c1,914$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…7721backed Patriots37c1,913$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9e…fdb6backed Patriots36c1,855$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ac8…dc49backed Seahawks64c1,846$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Seahawks62c1,775$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.477939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c2…d45cbacked Seahawks63c1,498$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…779bbacked Seahawks63c1,491$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…4f88backed Patriots37c1,483$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd5…9b06backed Patriots37c1,432$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc673…175fbacked Patriots36c1,388$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…5deebacked Seahawks64c1,356$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2b…295ebacked Patriots39c1,292$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb05…2f35backed Patriots39c1,290$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0203…270dbacked Patriots39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seahawks61c1,233$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.8618745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Patriots36c1,227$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5313756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e8…b97ebacked Patriots39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x120f…8534backed Patriots37c1,069$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Seahawks62c1,020$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5914366.4%95 W · 48 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Patriots39c987.26$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Patriots36c876.72$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.83625%9 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b42…329ebacked Seahawks63c869.48$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Seahawks61c821.02$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.869855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545a…b61abacked Patriots37c763.16$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Patriots39c740$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.612842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks62c673.31$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.869754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x739a…a4d2backed Seahawks62c657$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…b22fbacked Patriots36c638.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots38c612.58$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3128447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…e0f1backed Seahawks64c581.59$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Seahawks62c580$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.44555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Patriots39c562.55$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ae…5f4ebacked Seahawks63c521.24$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Seahawks62c513.68$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed Seahawks69c502.83$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.883562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Patriots35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Seahawks62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b5…e004backed Patriots38c486.84$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Patriots39c477.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Patriots25c434$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.522142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Patriots39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…49c6backed Seahawks62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x607b…4012backed Patriots15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a18…6ffabacked Patriots19c264.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Patriots38c264$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Patriots31c261.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2323244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Seahawks62c261$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Seahawks65c256.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots35c255.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3712055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Seahawks61c244$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1626649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Patriots40c238.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.283826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba83…4f66backed Seahawks66c215.38$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa03a…a243backed Patriots20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc99…a6f9backed Seahawks62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Seahawks65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Seahawks65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Patriots40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Patriots15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada4…221fbacked Seahawks67c148.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Patriots31c147.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8934247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Seahawks62c130.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Seahawks62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Patriots38c129.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Patriots39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Seahawks63c122$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.272060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Patriots39c117.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7616243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Patriots39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed18…86e4backed Seahawks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Patriots38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698a…fe0dbacked Seahawks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+44.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Seahawks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc576…027dbacked Patriots35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.