TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9320…49c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$99.86
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$95.45
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$27.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+522.4%+$522.43
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$81.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$31.3
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$206.06
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66.85
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.49
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+30.1%+$433.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.