UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb8b49bf678205e336cd192af365c1cbf65206b2b5d0332265acc52fe2da0823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Under | 65c | 11,612$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 37c | 8,365$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.22 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Over | 40c | 7,506$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 61c | 4,000$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.3 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 39c | 1,894$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.44 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Over | 40c | 1,850$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Under | 62c | 1,593$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.54 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 38c | 1,545$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.43 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Under | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Under | 60c | 1,401$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 39c | 780.82$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.97 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 61c | 713.98$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…753dbacked Over | 36c | 527.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 36c | 495.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Under | 65c | 460.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 60c | 416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 38c | 342.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc51…f872backed Under | 68c | 338.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 62c | 288.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Under | 62c | 278.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 62c | 248.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 37c | 196.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…2552backed Over | 37c | 161.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 12c | 160.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…8117backed Under | 65c | 153.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…49c6backed Under | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed Under | 61c | 149.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…9b09backed Under | 61c | 133.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583d…d79bbacked Under | 63c | 129.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…bd19backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…32b0backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed Over | 39c | 108.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked Over | 37c | 106.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…9a2cbacked Under | 62c | 103.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 35c | 102.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 54 | 92.6%50 W · 4 L | +20.8wins | +0.39per pick | 54cpaid | +361.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 36c | 93.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Under | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Under | 61c | 88.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 30c | 87.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8709backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…1ecfbacked Over | 39c | 77.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…02d9backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Under | 67c | 74.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Over | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Under | 62c | 68.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Under | 64c | 67.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…63a5backed Over | 36c | 67.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…5633backed Under | 61c | 65.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2152…ec9ebacked Under | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Under | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…6b43backed Under | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…d771backed Over | 37c | 54.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…5c4ebacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Under | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…db47backed Under | 62c | 51.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Under | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Under | 62c | 46.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 65c | 41.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…1beebacked Over | 39c | 39.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 39.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Under | 62c | 36.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Over | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 33c | 33.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked Over | 41c | 33.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…2a52backed Under | 65c | 32.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…e1d2backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…8124backed Over | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 43c | 27.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…0da7backed Under | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…ea1fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…da25backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…810ebacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 64c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 63c | 17.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…3626backed Under | 62c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Josh Hokit won
- Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.