TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Under65c11,612$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5004047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over37c8,365$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,272.2229133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7286…d5d0backed Over40c7,506$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,506.03785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+85.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under61c4,000$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.312052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over39c1,894$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.4442054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Over40c1,850$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10390553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Under62c1,593$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.5453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over38c1,545$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.4337152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…ee37backed Under67c1,494$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003060%18 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under60c1,401$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.33852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Under62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016158.4%94 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over39c780.82$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.9717055.3%94 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under61c713.98$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.531957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Over41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7615348.4%74 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b8d…753dbacked Over36c527.78$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over36c495.51$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Under65c460.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019152.9%101 W · 90 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Under62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2486045%27 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over38c342.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.221060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc51…f872backed Under68c338.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-57.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under62c288.4$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8116543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Under62c278.95$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.553040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under62c248.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over37c196.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22e4…2552backed Over37c161.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over12c160.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.922846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Under65c153.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9320…49c6backed Under61c149.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.491090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ad…bda1backed Under61c149.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.483961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.917524%42 W · 133 L-22.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa09b…9b09backed Under61c133.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.181643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x583d…d79bbacked Under63c129.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.884837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c6e…bd19backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f6…32b0backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed Over39c108.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Over37c106.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…9a2cbacked Under62c103.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over35c102.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4520248.5%98 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5617841.6%74 W · 104 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628759.8%52 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over70c98.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.855492.6%50 W · 4 L+20.8wins+0.39per pick54cpaid+361.4%equal weight79+0.26 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over36c93.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Under61c90.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Under61c88.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.895459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over30c87.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.344146.3%19 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaec9…8709backed Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa144…fc6cbacked Under62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7545…1ecfbacked Over39c77.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.054027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x877c…02d9backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Under67c74.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Over40c72.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.531855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…37f1backed Under62c68.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under64c67.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fe…63a5backed Over36c67.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…5633backed Under61c65.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2152…ec9ebacked Under62c62.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Under62c56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…6b43backed Under62c54.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a9…d771backed Over37c54.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…5c4ebacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+246.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed12…86f8backed Under63c52.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e94…db47backed Under62c51.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211364.6%73 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Under62c51.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under61c49.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.499961.6%61 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Under62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Under62c46.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under65c41.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7526736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9833…1beebacked Over39c39.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over36c39.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.268636%31 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Under62c36.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.714736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e4c…c8c6backed Over39c35.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over33c33.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.752347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8527…9a7fbacked Over41c33.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x174e…2a52backed Under65c32.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…e1d2backed Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6142…367bbacked Under64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b4…2329backed Over38c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0236…8124backed Over69c28.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under43c27.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1a…0da7backed Under62c25.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…ea1fbacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…da25backed Under62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd1…810ebacked Under62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under64c19.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.746747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under63c17.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0124256.2%136 W · 106 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc49…3626backed Under62c17.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.