TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6142…367b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.52
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$75.09
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$29.54
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+119%+$16.3
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+73%+$10.55
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+395%+$204.34
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+101%+$101.27
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.79
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$76.92
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37.07
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.48
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.41
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$76.55
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$54.4
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.44
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.88
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.15
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.06
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.98
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.44
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$110.08
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+533.1%+$507.93
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+101%+$25.77
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Iran finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Ghana finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$28.6
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+1,102.6%+$137.4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.31
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.1
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.65
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+36.3%+$26.76
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$69.72
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+124%+$147.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+240.2%+$532.91
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$43.55
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+324.1%+$257.01
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+247.1%+$172.42
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+174.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+371.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+137.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$120.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.