TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,558,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,879,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,558,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes9c60,355$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.6952844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes1c51,214$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.5512322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes2c48,253$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.59828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes1c41,174$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5911919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c34,337$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.98267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b42…ae63backed Yes3c31,083$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes3c20,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53024643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c19,956$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0722723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes10c19,937$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.9135439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x154e…fbdebacked Yes9c19,795$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.83016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes6c19,209$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.29248.3%2 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes1c18,468$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.681735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…6051backed Yes1c17,223$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Yes1c16,284$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.474233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes2c16,259$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.41933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5908…2f11backed Yes3c15,222$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Yes1c15,167$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c15,000$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.71163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd6…b163backed Yes15c14,914$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c14,866$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2910221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes2c13,123$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.844238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…0d0fbacked Yes3c12,927$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.761513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-80.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c12,787$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.732,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Yes19c12,767$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes1c12,231$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…f411backed Yes1c12,007$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes16c12,000$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.328337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0169…14a8backed Yes1c11,774$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Yes9c11,611$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes5c11,305$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.171711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes3c11,251$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3128451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes1c11,239$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3116636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed Yes19c11,096$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Yes1c11,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick2cpaid+356.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes10c10,570$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.981,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78d…a1ebbacked Yes1c10,559$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Yes4c10,457$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.486150.8%31 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes15c10,271$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.41119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c10,255$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8210443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Yes5c10,234$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.832030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes4c10,069$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.85287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fb…51d8backed Yes1c10,049$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2f…87b8backed Yes2c9,956$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes3c9,706$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.46160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6a…f674backed Yes19c9,416$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65c…1e63backed Yes2c8,820$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9413…9f89backed Yes2c8,666$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes7c8,653$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.6736038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes14c8,468$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.4345737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes3c8,059$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.44224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…49c5backed Yes1c7,676$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e2…1fcdbacked Yes2c7,604$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked Yes1c7,533$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.232030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x956b…dbb7backed Yes1c7,404$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88aa…efabbacked Yes2c7,294$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes9c7,248$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.981,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3535…c9c8backed Yes1c7,123$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes1c6,866$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6547453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf561…f45ebacked Yes1c6,849$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc863…284bbacked Yes2c6,845$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes3c6,843$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.47571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1771…4137backed Yes2c6,657$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…3bacbacked Yes1c6,551$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b86…377dbacked Yes2c6,428$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes1c6,339$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.255129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes10c6,166$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.281414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c6,107$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.632550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c6,102$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4244423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…445cbacked Yes1c6,098$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes11c6,041$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.26616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+340.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa646…8fe4backed Yes1c5,907$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c5,822$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.42214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7f…afaebacked Yes1c5,821$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfebf…f611backed Yes1c5,792$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa026…1155backed Yes1c5,766$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2449…5c97backed Yes1c5,722$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…364fbacked Yes1c5,719$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes2c5,622$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes4c5,501$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4877…5c7fbacked Yes1c5,479$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes19c5,400$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…1e20backed Yes2c5,386$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e03…7ff4backed Yes2c5,240$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8767…ed38backed Yes2c5,191$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92dc…602cbacked Yes1c5,123$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Yes18c5,103$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.5730542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes10c5,071$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c38…e804backed Yes1c5,061$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27de…110cbacked Yes1c5,043$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b9…dc8cbacked Yes1c5,024$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes1c5,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6852750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9e…de2abacked Yes1c4,981$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a99…5531backed Yes2c4,954$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x770b…bd69backed Yes1c4,939$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd6…b2cbbacked Yes1c4,925$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5369…4a3bbacked Yes1c4,925$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb4…8332backed Yes1c4,827$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e2…6761backed Yes1c4,669$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa164…4686backed Yes2c4,668$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.