Tennis · resolved market

Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42cb3a3ece95132c54127ce8c12ecde9ec586d3df6f8e0b7e850ca68366f6384

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $631,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $225,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x45e4…7e20backed Yes	0c	82,261$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.17	187	47.6%89 W · 98 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes	1c	29,973$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.67	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes	0c	27,089$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.27	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	2c	24,937$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.72	220	37.7%83 W · 137 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	0c	22,172$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	474	53.2%252 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	20,782$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes	1c	20,219$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.11	82	39%32 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes	1c	18,123$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.01	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes	0c	16,546$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-95.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	1c	16,335$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	156	57.1%89 W · 67 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes	2c	14,415$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.47	1,193	48.9%583 W · 610 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Yes	0c	11,194$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	2c	11,123$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.13	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes	1c	10,606$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.1	57	1.8%1 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Yes	2c	10,020$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-9.0wins	-0.12per pick	61cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Yes	0c	10,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-5.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes	2c	9,031$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.53	119	19.3%23 W · 96 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46c6…a5a6backed Yes	2c	7,471$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.46	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	2c	7,228$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.81	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Yes	1c	6,896$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes	1c	6,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	1c	5,871$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.04	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6053…8908backed Yes	2c	5,537$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe641…798abacked Yes	2c	5,272$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.35	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	0c	4,686$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a92…52f8backed Yes	1c	4,288$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes	0c	4,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes	1c	4,055$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.89	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes	0c	4,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes	3c	3,919$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.24	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	3,841$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.91	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes	2c	3,354$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	1c	3,223$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.13	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	1c	3,143$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes	3c	3,140$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes	1c	3,121$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.77	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes	2c	2,941$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+54%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Yes	4c	2,798$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,766$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed Yes	1c	2,257$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes	2c	2,133$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	656	52.1%342 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5753…fa31backed Yes	1c	1,975$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d7…c766backed Yes	1c	1,949$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes	1c	1,859$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes	1c	1,761$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	967	55.3%535 W · 432 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes	2c	1,684$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…dec9backed Yes	1c	1,572$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	2c	1,521$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	2c	1,461$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes	2c	1,424$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	2c	1,404$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8854…8e9cbacked Yes	2c	1,357$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	+90%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes	1c	1,324$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes	2c	1,194$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.62	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	1c	1,179$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Yes	1c	1,136$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86ff…5e28backed Yes	3c	1,102$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…fd4cbacked Yes	3c	1,017$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	991.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ab…4069backed Yes	3c	969.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	2c	923.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Yes	2c	799.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	549	55.2%303 W · 246 L	-21.0wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes	2c	645.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Yes	2c	588.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	145	45.5%66 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fe…8043backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff8d…2898backed Yes	6c	436.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event