TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,057,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes1c77,819$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.96287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes1c36,845$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2247153.1%250 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c28,981$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.661163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes4c26,335$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.111919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes3c24,761$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.082218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes0c21,091$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0310318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes13c19,045$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.15911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c18,575$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3222623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c16,022$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Yes4c14,816$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.256150.8%31 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c14,629$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b6a…f674backed Yes4c12,923$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes12c12,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e3…2846backed Yes3c12,478$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.491752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c12,440$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c11,381$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.19248.3%2 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes3c11,377$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.64224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes4c10,792$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2130945.6%141 W · 168 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c10,752$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.012550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes0c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes0c9,683$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.69160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Yes5c9,439$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes0c8,140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c7,813$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.292,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c7,748$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.6745737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes3c7,432$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.011533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes0c7,384$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ec…f51dbacked Yes13c7,230$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes0c7,222$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.89244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes1c7,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6595742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes13c6,748$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.7935139.6%139 W · 212 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…0d0fbacked Yes4c6,720$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.241513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-80.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes13c6,453$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.431,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes1c6,333$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c6,290$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9544423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c6,250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Yes4c6,055$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes5c5,987$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.581915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes12c5,904$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.925623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes8c5,330$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.815411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd811…ecfdbacked Yes2c5,328$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.41922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c5,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-87%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes3c5,131$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0312335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Yes11c5,043$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c4,978$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.392,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes8c4,944$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2265652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b96…439bbacked Yes6c4,902$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes0c4,779$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.124816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes13c4,671$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.352321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes2c4,506$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes0c4,444$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-87.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes2c4,413$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe119…34debacked Yes3c4,257$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Yes4c4,033$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.396038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c4,020$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.111,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes0c4,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…ae63backed Yes9c3,516$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c3,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes12c3,441$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4114933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…a31bbacked Yes12c3,386$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes12c3,285$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.364434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes5c3,206$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.734,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes1c3,139$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-92.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a5a6backed Yes3c3,138$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.87140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes9c3,068$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.662441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+87.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes2c3,003$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8613330.1%40 W · 93 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes0c2,708$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-88.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes1c2,600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…cc07backed Yes0c2,600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45724.6%14 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c2,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Yes6c2,480$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.422030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d06…e278backed Yes4c2,439$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes15c2,385$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf034…54e7backed Yes2c2,280$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes3c2,276$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…bbddbacked Yes2c2,249$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d66…6ed9backed Yes6c2,216$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13880%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes11c2,175$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c2,130$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3419411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ea…8665backed Yes1c2,129$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+128.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes12c2,126$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d77…af31backed Yes3c2,100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.691811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-76.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes1c2,053$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.455427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a3…4793backed Yes10c2,035$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2df…0cadbacked Yes4c2,031$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.214537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5130…9b27backed Yes4c2,022$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.993246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+50.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3830…dac7backed Yes2c2,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes14c1,931$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.271650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes7c1,886$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.388226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes4c1,882$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758725.3%22 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes7c1,876$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.278231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Yes9c1,812$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.862,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed4…09afbacked Yes1c1,746$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0753…d174backed Yes2c1,594$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8835…7734backed Yes13c1,521$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-70.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4d…2f49backed Yes12c1,500$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes6c1,499$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6815556.8%88 W · 67 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Yes14c1,447$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.