Tennis · resolved market

Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c6957b5507bd52206dfe1a6d8129a5b9c70415fabb4ed046d3b067e3fb87ef

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $505,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $160,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes	0c	43,432$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.9	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	0c	31,328$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.05	474	53.2%252 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	29,987$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.61	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	0c	28,304$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.3	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes	0c	26,125$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.3	106	22.6%24 W · 82 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	1c	24,025$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.21	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes	0c	21,497$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-95.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	0c	12,665$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+369.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	9,000$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.35	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	0c	8,943$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes	1c	8,586$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	0c	8,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	7,984$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	102	21.6%22 W · 80 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	0c	7,495$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	277	39%108 W · 169 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	0c	7,015$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Yes	1c	6,725$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	18.1%29 W · 131 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	0c	6,478$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed Yes	1c	6,283$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.26	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	0c	5,496$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-87%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63cc…eec5backed Yes	1c	5,313$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	1c	5,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	1c	4,100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes	1c	3,836$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes	0c	3,700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b19…b5a1backed Yes	0c	3,491$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9de…5169backed Yes	0c	3,175$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8086…f333backed Yes	1c	2,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes	1c	1,797$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb492…12dabacked Yes	1c	1,587$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event