TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$538,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cff…59dbbacked Yes6c33,096$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.691030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes1c30,037$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.561233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c22,464$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.021163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd789…8b79backed Yes5c20,092$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c17,323$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9923731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes3c16,043$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.63287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f08…ead2backed Yes1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes4c15,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes1c14,763$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.871323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+369.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c13,200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.29248.3%2 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c13,137$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5110221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Yes5c11,892$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.693336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes6c11,620$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.735439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes1c11,183$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.534816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes2c9,633$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.16160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c9,282$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.66267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c8,749$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.69013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes1c7,577$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.97571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes2c7,376$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.62828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes6c7,281$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes4c6,178$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.651414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Yes1c5,755$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.23528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes4c5,680$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.49573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c5,644$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2222723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes1c5,559$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3810318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c5,207$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.944423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes1c5,186$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.447453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c4,512$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.442550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes7c4,505$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f18…c075backed Yes5c4,423$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a1…b1f3backed Yes2c4,224$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked Yes1c4,180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Yes4c4,082$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2614753.1%78 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c3,868$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8086…f333backed Yes0c3,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1470%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes5c3,459$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.42147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-78.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes1c3,301$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes6c3,097$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes1c3,052$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.368239%32 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes6c3,000$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1749941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1933…b444backed Yes1c2,998$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes0c2,839$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Yes4c2,725$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9277backed Yes4c2,595$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.351533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes1c2,474$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030053.7%161 W · 139 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Yes4c2,374$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c2,250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes1c2,222$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-87.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes2c2,197$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4512033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,029$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.732,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes1c1,708$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x451a…4dfabacked Yes6c1,695$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc87…3600backed Yes1c1,667$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+664.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46c6…a5a6backed Yes1c1,662$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes6c1,627$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes1c1,570$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-88.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c1,545$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes2c1,516$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.451127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes1c1,501$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes2c1,500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…7187backed Yes1c1,483$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes1c1,225$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.113246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c1,217$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.46214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b06…b071backed Yes4c1,182$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes6c1,172$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6396755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1870…f3e5backed Yes3c1,092$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes1c1,062$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.622548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes6c938.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6714933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf81…697dbacked Yes6c850$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4c…2042backed Yes1c849.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6141…3961backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c824$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8719411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…30eabacked Yes6c819.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045b…ba94backed Yes5c811.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes4c800.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc709…3eeebacked Yes6c796.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…c766backed Yes4c731.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.331414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…dec9backed Yes4c680.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-84.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes2c669.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.734238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes6c656.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes6c642$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.889134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes4c621.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.777850%39 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes4c563.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9124229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1463…ce78backed Yes4c548.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes6c526.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Yes4c521$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe641…798abacked Yes6c510$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6c…8fe6backed Yes6c507.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.482931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdca…fe9ebacked Yes6c412.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282a…f2c5backed Yes5c406.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac14…7ee5backed Yes5c400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes4c307.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes4c277.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+152.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e6…d1dcbacked Yes5c218.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.