TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a6c…8fe6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.02
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norriebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.86
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$49.5
BNP Paribas Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63
BNP Paribas Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$48.8
Rio Open: Luis Miguel vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirobacked Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.91
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Julian Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Danny Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$96
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.8
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.8
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Leal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.