South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1910e59c8630b0cf3bfbd70f34a2b42096990b502076e77bc49bc254aa038d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,651 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 2,039$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 1,249$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Yes | 8c | 1,111$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,015$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 863.7$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…7454backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 696.72$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…466bbacked Yes | 27c | 530.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 488.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 27c | 367$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 72c | 336.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 282.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 28c | 262.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 29c | 198$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 13c | 171.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 14c | 149.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…8626backed Yes | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 134.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…113dbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 15c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…8fe6backed Yes | 26c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 75c | 77.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 26c | 74.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 70c | 72.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 56.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 56.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 41.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 74c | 38.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 72c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.