TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,021 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Yes44c40,619$17,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,819.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes60c22,504$13,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,971.991,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes47c19,898$9,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,546.0219846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c15,945$6,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,344.718,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No55c13,787$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,520.1623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No56c9,070$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.22450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c8,415$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No54c6,120$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.413268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No54c4,084$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.366055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes46c3,865$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.7337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c3,477$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.741,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c3,308$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.253,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No31c3,104$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.175819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c2,632$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.651,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No53c2,547$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.914153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c1,673$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.141,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No25c1,324$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6528651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes75c1,300$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked No31c1,164$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No56c1,145$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No38c1,112$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No6c897.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5221132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No35c792.7$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes63c700$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes64c694.7$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.710155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c649.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33012741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c588.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.52,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c547$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No56c496$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.769649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No56c490.03$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No29c475.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.484951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked No33c396.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8719135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c382.84$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.171,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c367$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.841,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes47c365.64$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0310827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes44c345.45$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.452339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes46c308.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No8c308.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.674418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes64c305.7$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.051560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5e…3b08backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No52c299.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No8c295.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7216740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes73c272.11$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No31c271.03$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0210242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes56c265.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8328231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes65c261.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6b…4dcfbacked Yes65c261.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes66c245.06$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes46c243.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.46333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No33c243.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.22528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes48c208.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.545660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes62c203.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c198.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.421,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed No21c181.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.873250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes48c172.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No55c172.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No30c167.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.312334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No56c164.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.177554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf034…d5a8backed Yes46c160.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No23c151.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8419460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8413557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No56c149.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.517066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c147.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.891,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a8…8194backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed No15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes48c132$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.952268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes47c131.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.664259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c122.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes62c117.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No56c116.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.727450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No56c108.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5727053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No54c101.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6420953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548668.6%59 W · 27 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.