TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa580…a6fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.05
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$203.33
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Deportivo Táchira FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+170.5%+$170.54
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+456.5%+$136.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113.75
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$260.34
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.21
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$107.72
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.4%+$88.3
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.7%+$78.71
Will Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+162.6%+$195.15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.83
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.97
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$27.32
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$32.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+122.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.