TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$753,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$848,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $753,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a8c…4449backed Yes49c102,398$50,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,190.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86bc…d7eabacked Yes49c102,324$50,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,155.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No50c79,616$40,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,492.885736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No53c50,000$26,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,520.835349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes47c39,950$18,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,7238042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No56c32,375$18,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,190.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c31,945$15,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,041.9748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c26,262$11,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,920.398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c21,733$11,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,253.268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No53c13,592$7,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,388.353562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No53c13,104$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,158.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes21c11,862$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes65c10,979$7,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,136.3734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No61c10,266$6,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.7211153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes43c8,093$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4804445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c7,683$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes39c6,410$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c6,091$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.221,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No53c5,113$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.432339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No53c4,432$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.892161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.964860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes47c3,924$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.2822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes55c3,826$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.9811837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c3,519$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.3445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.992552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.857444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf204…9c52backed Yes40c2,470$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No60c2,382$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.34245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Yes47c2,195$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.731822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes2c1,760$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.967231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes45c1,666$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c1,616$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.5549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7523125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes45c1,595$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No68c1,590$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.2412049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No58c1,588$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.934641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes66c1,513$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed No56c1,487$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No53c1,440$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.8820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,427$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.3435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,340$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7af…efb7backed Yes48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0652…9134backed Yes58c1,250$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+127.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes44c1,225$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes45c1,221$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.416349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Yes23c1,157$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+178.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes45c1,099$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes33c1,073$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No51c1,029$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.564546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4707255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+114.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes13c999.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes42c999.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes41c985.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c936.17$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44033951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes43c930.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.135459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes48c892.94$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes42c829$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0914549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Yes43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No35c775.09$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed No51c763.54$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c748.58$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes44c708$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…ae8ebacked Yes48c690$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa948…b032backed No53c670$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed No53c650$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3926…5863backed Yes6c641.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed No63c631.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8a…4e15backed Yes48c630$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes48c627.08$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No51c607.88$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c601.56$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7322373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes46c600$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26415042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes46c599.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes8c599.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf9…5ff4backed Yes67c598.43$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No53c548.26$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6821445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes6c547.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.856132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes47c532$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.043250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.