TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8627…5382backed No73c15,242$11,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.743860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c8,107$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes27c7,647$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.6933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c6,949$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6831,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes19c5,260$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c4,860$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No67c2,679$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.142259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No71c2,450$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.554245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No77c2,138$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4116838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked No72c2,002$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked No72c1,701$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,395$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes15c1,334$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No64c1,322$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.882133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,222$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c1,182$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.2534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c1,100$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c911.89$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c862.99$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2737250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes14c735.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c703.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf312…184dbacked Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes31c647.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c639.98$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No68c634.9$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.171668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No79c577.51$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes18c550.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+77.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c378.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes21c325$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1514549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes32c281.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No69c273.23$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0514347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes37c270.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.071526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes11c266.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes28c259.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes23c245.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No74c243$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+448.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+87.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes29c213$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.773828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c202.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.618951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c193.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes25c168.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.594047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c165.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.593534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f45…51e4backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes37c149.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No71c148$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c142.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.716819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b6d…dacabacked Yes36c134.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes8c134.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd83…0aa7backed Yes29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes29c121.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c121$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c105.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes29c102$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.583426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135030%15 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.994379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes28c98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.278042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes13c92.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6757…a8bebacked Yes21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No72c83.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Yes16c78.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes30c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes28c66.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes19c57.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No74c57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No70c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.215041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked No71c50.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No71c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes30c48.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No73c48.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0313350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c44.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked No72c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.444134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No77c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes29c34.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No71c31.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.099857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.