TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfbb7…6f27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
664
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT6004.2%25 W · 575 L+0.4wins0.00per pick4cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 600 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+3,900%+$390
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+3,900%+$390
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or below on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 600 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will EC Bahia vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+1,150%+$122.07
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will SK Brann win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will SK Brann vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will NEC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will FC København win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Will Odense BK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hellas Verona FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+816.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,733.3%+$208
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.