South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeabdee87e926fd71009ae90e675d1862a38d3a96c0d246dd9529b3ebca488084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 28c | 22,473$6,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,177.28 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 26c | 21,760$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,206.72 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 72c | 10,098$7,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,270.79 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 72c | 9,751$7,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020.86 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 8,964$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 6,572$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,297$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.84 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 2,790$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.66 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,035$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 1,932$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 52c | 1,339$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.23 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,117$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…f89dbacked No | 72c | 980$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 727.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 75c | 467.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…70d1backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked No | 76c | 259.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 250.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 217$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 188.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 41c | 166.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 146.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 141.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 134.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 133.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 8c | 132.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 96.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 12c | 88.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 86.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 20c | 67.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 60c | 58.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 76c | 53.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…d445backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed No | 76c | 37.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 30c | 36.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…27c2backed No | 73c | 30.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 72c | 27.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked No | 76c | 17.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…9b60backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 76c | 14.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked No | 76c | 14.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.