Olympics · resolved market
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798b7cfff8bb0b87cf48b1a296de24d15fe049d508a3c3a4c7efce6b00af0e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 60c | 10,040$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 40c | 8,790$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 42c | 4,652$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,407$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.07 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,862$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 58c | 1,344$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…f189backed Yes | 47c | 1,325$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 53c | 1,118$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 1,094$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 1,025$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.03 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Yes | 43c | 800.04$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…fd88backed Yes | 41c | 794.83$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…9c15backed Yes | 44c | 789.68$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…fec6backed Yes | 55c | 621.48$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cc…1986backed Yes | 43c | 576.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…9e6abacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 57c | 499.64$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 42c | 486.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked No | 62c | 484.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked Yes | 41c | 474.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 55c | 469.07$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 58c | 449.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…6eabbacked Yes | 41c | 390.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 40c | 375.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 52c | 375.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…7200backed Yes | 54c | 318.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed No | 65c | 306.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Yes | 45c | 264.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…7ca5backed No | 58c | 252.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…7f9abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 244.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 39c | 241.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 58c | 239.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 42c | 238.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…1d63backed Yes | 54c | 236.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…cd9ebacked Yes | 61c | 234.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 60c | 205$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed No | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed Yes | 42c | 199.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…5fadbacked Yes | 35c | 199.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 58c | 197.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 64c | 196$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked No | 46c | 186$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…7f61backed Yes | 44c | 182.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 55c | 180.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 34c | 179$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 26c | 174.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 56c | 164.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…5ebcbacked No | 64c | 157.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 31c | 145.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 73c | 140.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 136.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 134.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…bbf5backed Yes | 36c | 127.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 35c | 127.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 126.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c6…53acbacked Yes | 41c | 122.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…1395backed Yes | 41c | 122.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 28c | 122.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 36c | 120.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…1a36backed Yes | 61c | 114.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 37c | 112.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 39c | 111.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 47c | 110.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d74fbacked Yes | 44c | 107.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 58c | 102.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…1737backed Yes | 43c | 100.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 98.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 60c | 94.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…ee52backed Yes | 54c | 90.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 85.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 38c | 83.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…d039backed Yes | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 36c | 73.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…6f41backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…ee4cbacked No | 49c | 68.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Yes | 53c | 62.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 40c | 61.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 56c | 60.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…8550backed Yes | 35c | 56.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…f1b0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 24c | 53.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…c6f2backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…eb15backed Yes | 41c | 49.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a78…7bcfbacked Yes | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 60c | 42.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…7f63backed No | 58c | 40.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.